The Ball State Cardinals (5-4, 3-2 MAC) meet the Toledo Rockets (6-3, 4-1) Tuesday at Glass Bowl in Toledo, Ohio. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Ball State vs. Toledo odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Cardinals of Ball State can move into a tie for 1st place in the MAC’s West Division with a road win Tuesday, and they hold the head-to-head tiebreaker with Toledo Rockets.
Ball State fell behind 13-0 after the 1st quarter at Kent State last week before outscoring the Golden Flashes 27-7 to grab an important road win. The Cardinals need 1 more win to attain bowl eligibility.
Toledo has also qualified for the postseason, but it’s trying to take a big step toward clinching a spot in the MAC Championship Game at Ford Field in December. A win here over Ball State doesn’t quite clinch the West Division, but the Rockets will have a 2-game lead with 2 to go.
The Rockets have won 4 of their last 5 games while going 3-2 ATS. The Over is 3-1 in the past 4 games for Toledo, too.
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Ball State at Toledo odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:51 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Ball State +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Toledo -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Ball State +11 (-110) | Toledo -11 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -114 | U: -110)
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Ball State at Toledo picks and predictions
Prediction
Toledo 27, Ball State 20
Moneyline
Toledo (-500) will cost you 5 times your potential return. That’s a little too risky in a mid-week battle against the closest competitor in the West Division, even if this game is at Glass Bowl.
Plus, the road team has won in each of the past 2 seasons, including Ball State’s 27-24 win in Toledo outright as a 10-point underdog in 2020.
AVOID.
Against the spread
BALL STATE +11 (-110) isn’t a good play if you base your play on most of the trends. The Cardinals are 0-5 ATS in the past 5 against teams with a winning record and are 11-23 ATS in the past 34 in November.
However, the Cardinals are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 in Toledo, while the road team is 11-3 ATS in the past 14 meetings overall.
Over/Under
UNDER 50.5 (-110) is the lean here.
The Under has been on fire for Ball State lately, cashing in 5 of the past 6 road games, while going 8-2 in the previous 10 inside the MAC. In addition, Ball State has cashed the Under in 7 in a row in November.
While the Over is 7-2 in the past 9 conference tilts for the Rockets, the Under is 16-4-1 in the past 21 home games against teams with a winning road record.
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