San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Antonio Spurs (5-4) are on the road Saturday for the first game of a home-and-home with the Denver Nuggets (5-3). Tip-off is at 9 p.m. ET at Ball Arena. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Spurs vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Spurs lost their last 2 games at home on the heels of winning 5 of 6 overall. They lost 113-106 to the Los Angeles Clippers Friday, allowing F Paul George to score 32 points. G Devin Vassell led the Spurs with 29 points off the bench in a losing effort.

The Nuggets have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming off a 122-110 road win over the Oklahoma City Thunder Thursday, covering as 6.5-point favorites. F Aaron Gordon led the team with 27 points and C Nikola Jokic had a triple-double in the win (15 points, 13 rebounds, 14 assists).

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Spurs at Nuggets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Spurs +440 (bet $100 to win $440) | Nuggets -650 (bet $650 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Spurs +11.5 (-110) | Nuggets -11.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 235.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Spurs at Nuggets key injuries

Spurs

  • Not yet submitted

Nuggets

  • Bones Hyland (hip) questionable
  • Collin Gillespie (leg) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Spurs at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 119, Spurs 110

Moneyline

The Spurs are 3-1 on the road this season, while the Nuggets are a perfect 3-0 at home.

The Nuggets average 115.1 points per game and the Spurs allow the 2nd-most points in the league at 120.7 per game.

I like the Nuggets (-650) for the home win but the moneyline lacks value.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Nuggets do not typically follow up convincing wins with another convincing win. They are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of 10 or more points, dating back to last season. They had a 12-point win over the Thunder Thursday.

The Spurs lost by 6 in their last game, failing to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. They are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games dating to last season.

BET SPURS +11.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The Spurs may allow the 2nd-most points per game in the league (120.7), but this is a high projected total.

None of the Nuggets’ last 4 games have passed this projected total.

Half of the Spurs’ games this season have not reached 236 total points.

BET UNDER 235.5 (-110).

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