The No. 23 Liberty Flames (7-1) and Arkansas Razorbacks (5-3) engage in a Saturday afternoon non-conference battle at Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville. Kickoff will be at 4 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Liberty vs. Arkansas odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Liberty enters this contest off a bye week. The Flames sport a strong running game as part of a solid overall offense, and their defense –ranked 26th in the nation in total yards allowed (330.5 per game) — has held opponents under 25 points in 5 straight games. Liberty won all 5, including a 41-14 contest against a favored-by-7 BYU on Oct. 22.
The Razorbacks have cranked out a lot of yards offensively while struggling on defense. They rank 4th in the SEC in total offense (492.5 yards per game) and 13th in total defense (458.6 YPG). Arkansas has won 2 straight games after losing 3 in a row. Saturday’s game is its first in Fayetteville since Oct. 1.
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Liberty at Arkansas odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 9:36 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Liberty +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Arkansas -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Liberty +13.5 (-110) | Arkansas -13.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 64.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Liberty at Arkansas picks and predictions
Prediction
Arkansas 35, Liberty 24
Moneyline
AVOID. The margin on the visitors and the points is better.
Against the spread
Liberty has played the likes of current-No. 19 Wake Forest and then 2 weeks back, BYU. After a bye week, look for a strong effort from a defense that should be able to pester Arkansas just enough to make for a little leverage with 13.5 points.
The Flames have been tough in the red zone. They’ve allowed TDs on just 45.2% of applicable drives; that ranks 13th in the nation.
TAKE LIBERTY +13.5 (-110). Consider a partial-unit play; buy in more if the spread gets to 14. Some outlets had this game lined at 14 or even 14.5 earlier in the week.
Over/Under
Arkansas does run the ball across many situations more than average, and that may play into boat-race 4th quarter in the Hogs are up a couple scores.
The Under is a slight lean, but not an actionable one. PASS.
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