Straight-up NFL Picks, Week 6: Deciphering Bills-Chiefs and buying back on Bill Belichick?

Week 5 was an amazing week for upsets I didn’t have the guts to actually pick.

Take the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans for example. I noted how taking the Jaguars seemed like the easiest pick of the week and how, for four straight weeks, that instinct has been explicitly and completely wrong. I even noted how weird the Texans-Jags rivalry has been, with Jacksonville sitting at 4-19 against its AFC South rival since 2011 and winless in its last eight games against them.

Well, now the Jaguars have lost nine straight against the Texans and all three of us picking games at FTW took a dumb, ugly L as well.

There was also the matter of the Green Bay Packers, who I singled out as a tough favorite to back despite a 9.5-point spread, then chose anyway. Did the Giants shred their tissue-soft run defense? Yep! Did Aaron Rodgers suffer from a lack of targets? Sure did. Did my trepidation over taking a near 10-point underdog cost me a win? Also yes.

Now’s my opportunity to learn from that — and take entirely too many road teams to win straight up.

Game	Christian	Robert	Charles
Commanders vs. Bears	Commanders	Bears	Bears
Bengals vs. Saints	Bengals	Bengals	Bengals
Jaguars vs. Colts	Colts	Jaguars	Colts
Vikings vs. Dolphins	Vikings	Vikings	Vikings
Patriots vs. Browns	Patriots	Patriots	Patriots
Jets vs. Packers	Packers	Jets	Packers
Ravens vs. Giants	Ravens	Ravens	Ravens
49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	49ers	49ers
Buccaneers vs. Steelers	Buccaneers	Buccaneers	Buccaneers
Panthers vs. Rams	Rams	Rams	Rams
Cardinals vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	Seahawks	Seahawks
Bills vs. Chiefs	Bills	Chiefs	Bills
Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	Eagles	Eagles
Broncos vs. Chargers	Chargers	Chargers	Chargers
Last week:	10-6	10-6	9-7
Year to date:	48-31-1	44-35-1	39-40-1

And here those pics are in a better-formatted screenshot of our actual picks sheet, which sadly struggles to translate to our editing software.