The Las Vegas Raiders (1-3) head to GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium Monday night to face the Kansas City Chiefs (3-1). Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Raiders vs. Chiefs odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
These AFC West rivals have faced off every year since 1960. The Chiefs lead the all-time series 70-54-2 and are 7-1 against the Raiders since the Patrick Mahomes era started in 2018. The Raiders’ only win against the Mahomes-led Chiefs came in 2020. The Chiefs defeated the Raiders twice last season by a combined score of 89-23.
The Raiders earned their 1st victory of 2022 in Week 4 over another AFC West rival, the Denver Broncos. It was also the 1st time the Raiders covered the spread this season. The Chiefs defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 41-31 on Sunday Night Football last week, covering the spread for the 2nd time this season.
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Raiders vs. Chiefs odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 4:28 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Raiders +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Chiefs -340 (bet $340 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Raiders +7.5 (-115) | Chiefs -7.5 (+105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Raiders vs. Chiefs key injuries
Raiders
- LB Jayon Brown (hamstring) out
- TE Foster Moreau (knee) questionable
- CB Sam Webb (hamstring) questionable
Chiefs
- K Harrison Butker (ankle) out
- DE Mike Danna (calf) questionable
- RG Trey Smith (pec) questionable
- WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (hamstring) questionable
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Raiders vs. Chiefs picks and predictions
Prediction
Chiefs 38, Raiders 24
Moneyline
The Chiefs have the Raiders’ number, and it doesn’t seem like that will change anytime soon. K.C. is rolling after easily taking down the Bucs in Tampa, while the Raiders’ lone win came against a Denver squad averaging just 15 points per game, the 2nd-lowest in the NFL.
The Chiefs are averaging the 2nd-highest points per game in the league (32.3) and should have no problem keeping that up against a middling-at-best Raiders defense. With that in mind, the Chiefs should win, but I would AVOID the moneyline since the payout to take K.C. is not worth the money spent.
Against the spread
The CHIEFS -7.5 (+105) is your best bet in this game. The juice allows a plus payout, and the Chiefs have blown out Vegas the last 2 times they’ve played. Mahomes has also enjoyed lots of success against the Raiders, throwing 22 TDs and 3 INTs and averaging 318.3 passing yards per game in his career against the silver and black. K.C. will run up the score, which makes the single-digit line an easy one.
Over/Under
Even in the Chiefs’ blowouts this season they’ve allowed a decent amount of points (31 against the Bucs and 21 against the Arizona Cardinals). That’s not necessarily because the K.C. defense is bad, but more because the defense tends to slide into prevent when the offense is scoring big.
With both the Raiders and Chiefs allowing nearly 25 points per game each and both offenses in the top 10 in scoring, this seems like an easy matchup to take the OVER 51.5 (-108). Plus, it’s a divisional game in prime time, so both squads will be putting forth their best effort.
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