The Iowa Hawkeyes (3-2, Big 12 0-2) will welcome the Kansas State Wildcats (4-1, 2-0) to Jack Trice Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Kansas State vs. Iowa State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Iowa State kicked its season off with 3 straight wins over SEMO, in-state rival Iowa and then Ohio. It then suffered its first loss to Baylor and its second conference matchup to Kansas.
Points have been difficult for the Cyclones to come by, scoring 10 against Iowa and just 11 against Kansas. They’ve averaged just 15 points per game against Power 5 opponents.
As for Kansas State, it has been led by transfer QB Adrian Martinez who was a stud with the Nebraska Cornhuskers last season. He had 116 passing yards and 171 rushing yards in the Wildcats’ 37-28 win over Texas Tech last weekend.
Kansas State’s only loss on the season was a 17-10 defeat at the hand of Tulane, a painful loss after taking a 10-7 lead into the half. Kansas State is No. 20 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
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Kansas State at Iowa State odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Kansas State -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Iowa State +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
- Against the spread (ATS): Kansas State -1.5 (-105) | Iowa State +1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Kansas State at Iowa State picks and predictions
Prediction
Kansas State 24, Iowa State 20
Moneyline
PASS.
I like Kansas State here, and considering it has only had 1 one-point win since 2018, I’ll take the slightly better odds on the spread.
Against the spread
BET KANSAS STATE -1.5 (-105).
Iowa State is averaging 26 points per game, but it hasn’t had that same success against quality opponents. While defensively, it limited QB Jalon Daniels last week, it still failed to cover as 3.5-point favorites.
Iowa State has struggled to run the ball against quality sides, not getting over 75 yards against either Kansas or Baylor. The Cyclones don’t have a go-to playmaker like Martinez. QB Hunter Dekkers has struggled this season, throwing 6 interceptions.
Martinez, on the other hand, is having one of the best seasons of his career, averaging almost 100 rushing yards per game. Martinez should have success similar to Daniels as they’re both elite threats on the ground.
The Wildcats have more impressive wins over higher-quality opponents like Oklahoma. With that in mind, I’d back them to cover despite being on the road.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 45.5 (-115).
Given how Iowa State has played against Power 5 sides offensively, it only seems smart to play the under. The Cyclones are allowing 14.4 points per game to opponents this season, the 11th fewest in the nation.
While Martinez is a stud, his arm isn’t what makes him dynamic, and rushing the ball keeps the clock moving. I expect this to be a grind-it-out game like the Cyclones are used to.
If that’s the case, UNDER 45.5 (-115) is the side to be on.
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