New York Yankees at Texas Rangers Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (98-61) and Texas Rangers (66-93) meet for a Tuesday twin bill as they continue a 4-game series at Globe Life Field. First pitch for Game 1 is slated for 2:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees at Rangers Game 1 odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 3-1

New York got a couple of home runs — just none off the bat of OF Aaron Judge — in taking Monday’s series opener 3-1. The Yankees’ home-run pace has slowed in the last week or slow; a club that banged out 26 HR in 12 games from Sept. 10-24 has hit just 7 HR in its last 8 games.

The Rangers have lost 6 consecutive games and 9 of their last 10. Over those 10 games, the Rangers offense has slashed a .182/.242/.305 (.547 OPS). Texas had a fine .816 OPS at home from Sept. 9-22; the Rangers own a .501 OPS in 4 home games since.

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Yankees at Rangers Game 1 projected starters

RHP Jameson Taillon vs. RHP Jon Gray

Taillon (14-5, 3.83 ERA) makes his 32nd start of the season. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 171 1/3 IP.

  • Has allowed just 2 runs in his last 13 1/3 IP
  • Has gotten fewer swings and misses than he did when he posted a 4.30 ERA in 2021 but has also walked fewer batters while inducing more ground balls

Gray (7-7, 3.93 ERA) owns a 1.15 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 121 1/3 IP across 23 starts.

  • Coughed up 3 HR (among 6 R total) in his last start (5 IP at the Seattle Mariners Thursday)
  • Owns a 3.16 ERA and 1.00 WHIP across 37 IP at home

Yankees at Rangers Game 1 odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yankees -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Rangers +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+135) | Rangers +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +112 | U: -140)

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Yankees at Rangers Game 1 picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 3, Rangers 2

Moneyline

Looking at runs vs. runs allowed, the Rangers have been unlucky to post a .415 win percentage to date. To a lesser extent, the Yankees have the same lean. With this pitching match-up and the prices, there is no daylight here.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

With the likable Under on a low total, the RANGERS +1.5 (-175) are the LEAN here.

Over/Under

Both hurlers have sub-indicators that support their fine surface numbers. A case can be made that both offenses are a tad overcooked in their numbers.

BACK THE UNDER 7.5 (-140).

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