The Baltimore Orioles (80-75) and Boston Red Sox (74-81) meet for a Thursday matinee to close out a 4-game series. First pitch at Fenway Park is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: tied 9-9
Baltimore is 1-4 over its last 5 games overall and has the same record across its last 5 games against the Red Sox. Those last 5 games have included 3 loose affairs with 20-plus combined runs scored and 2 games of the opposite ilk.
The Red Sox snapped a 6-game losing skid Tuesday and won against Wednesday. Red Sox pitching had been on a hot streak in the front half of September, but Boston owns a 6.00 ERA and 1.61 WHIP over its last 8 games.
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Orioles at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Mike Baumann vs. RHP Nathan Eovaldi
Baumann (1-3, 4.32 ERA) has made 2 starts among his 11 games. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 through 25 IP.
- Pitched 60 innings with a 4.20 ERA and 1.32 WHIP at Triple-A
- Allowed 2 ER in 4 IP in his last start Saturday vs. the Houston Astros
Eovaldi (5-3, 4.15 ERA) owns 1.26 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 99 2/3 IP across 18 starts.
- Coming off the 15-day IL; has not logged an MLB start since Aug. 12
- Owns a 1.67 ERA over his last 5 turns against the Orioles (2021-22)
Orioles at Red Sox odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:52 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Orioles +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Red Sox -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-155) | Red Sox -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Orioles at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 5, Orioles 3
Money line
Boston is the lean but is better priced on the Run Line. PASS on the current tag, but ML bettors may want to hunt a Boston (-155) play.
Run line/Against the spread
Boston has played better in the last month than its record would reflect. Eovaldi battles the injury-return question mark well enough with his dominant history against Baltimore.
TAKE BOSTON -1.5 (+125).
Over/Under
Analytics pointing both ways here, and these two AL East foes have been playing wildly divergent types of games this season.
PASS.
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