The Minnesota Twins (68-67) and New York Yankees (83-54) meet Thursday night at Yankee Stadium in the finale of the 4-game set. First pitch is at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: New York leads 5-1 and the Yankee are 11-2 against the Twins over the last 2 seasons
The Twins are 1-5 on a road trip that opened with 3 games against the Chicago White Sox. Minnesota is just 6-12 since Aug. 20. The Twins have a .572 OPS across 9 road games in that stretch.
The Yankees have averaged just 3.11 runs per game on a .593 OPS since Aug. 9. But New York bats did produce 15 hits — including 3 home runs — in a Wednesday doubleheader against Minnesota. The Yanks have scored 5-plus runs in 3 straight games, something they had not done since July 31-Aug. 2.
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Twins at Yankees projected starters
RHP Sonny Gray vs. LHP Nestor Cortes
Gray (7-4, 3.10 ERA) makes his 22nd start of the season. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 104 2/3 IP.
- Has benefited from a low 8.6% of fly balls resulting in HR
- Owns a 4.44 ERA in his last 4 road starts
Cortes (9-4, 2.68 ERA) has logged a 0.96 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 131 IP in 23 starts.
- Touched up for 4 R in 4 1/3 IP in a June 8 start at Minnesota
- Returning from the 15-day IL (groin) for this start; has not pitched for the Yankees since Aug. 21
- Owns a 3.22 ERA in 142 1/3 career IP at Yankee Stadium
Twins at Yankees odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:34 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Twins +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Yankees -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-190) | Yankees -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)
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Twins at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Twins 3
Money line
Minnesota owns a .731 against right-handers but just a .709 mark against port-siders.
New York has certainly been shaky offensively, but the Yanks have had perhaps more than their share of woes with runners in scoring position. And that’s not a repeatable skill on which to bank.
TAKE NEW YORK (-145). The Cortes return from injury brings some caution into play. Make this a partial-unit play unless the price gets to -135.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS. A lot of juice drowning out potential value here.
Over/Under
Both bullpens have been heavily used this series. And ammunition is running low. Add in some fade lean on both starters (expected-ERA figures drifting higher than surface numbers)
BACK THE OVER 6.5 (-135).
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