Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (68-67) took down the Seattle Mariners (76-59) Monday in the opener of their 3-game series and will look to make it 2 in a row Tuesday. First pitch is set for 9:40 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: White Sox lead 3-1

The White Sox have bounced back since losing 7 of 8 games from Aug. 22-30 by winning 5 of their last 6 games. Chicago fights to keep its playoff hopes alive as it trails the NL Central-leading Cleveland Guardians by 2 games.

Seattle had a 7-game win streak stopped with the 3-2 loss Monday.

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White Sox at Mariners projected starters

RHP Johnny Cueto vs. RHP Logan Gilbert

Cueto (7-6, 2.93 ERA) makes his 21st appearance (20th start). He has a 1.17 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 through 129 IP.

  • Has been very effective on the road with a 1.81 ERA and just 4 HR allowed across 59 2/3 IP this season
  • Doesn’t get a lot of strikeouts but has done a great job of minimizing the damage, allowing more than 3 ER in a start just twice all season

Gilbert (11-5, 3.35 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 155 2/3 IP.

  • Though his skills have been better at home than on the road his ERA is about a full run higher (3.94 vs 2.95) at T-Mobile Park
  • Recorded just 15 strikeouts over 26 2/3 IP across 5 August starts but in his first September outing matched his season-high with 9 K and 17 swinging strikes.

White Sox at Mariners odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:46 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): White Sox +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Mariners -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-175) | Mariners -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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White Sox at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

White Sox 5, Mariners 4

Money line

Gilbert is already more than 30 innings past last year’s mark and may be wearing down a bit. Though he racked up a lot of strikeouts in his last game, he had a 3.64 xFIP and 8.6 K/9 through the end of July compared to a 4.86 xFIP and 6.6 K/9 in 6 starts since.

The White Sox have been better on the road than at home, while the Mariners average just 3.8 runs per game at home — 6th lowest in the league. The odds are good enough here to take the underdog, so back the WHITE SOX (+125).

Run line/Against the spread

Cueto is a good bet to keep his team in the game even if they don’t come out on top. However, laying -175 for +1.5 runs is a little too much so PASS.

Over/Under

Cueto has been rock solid all year but isn’t dominant and can’t be expected to completely shut down the Seattle bats. On the other side, Gilbert hasn’t been at his best in recent weeks.

Look for this total to go just OVER 7.5 (-105).

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