Below is a list of 11 players, broken up by favorites, sleepers and long shots, of which I’m almost 100% positive next season’s MVP will be chosen from.
Why am I so confident? Because eight of the 11 players are some of the top quarterbacks in the NFL, and quarterbacks almost always win the award — try 14 of the last 15 years.
Of course the possibility exists that a quarterback not listed below emerges from the crop to claim the award, but I’m not betting on it. The players below are in situations ready-made for MVP campaigns. It all comes down to which can best make it happen.
This isn’t me picking an MVP (I like Joe Burrow), this is me laying out why each guy will and won’t win the award. Odds are from Tipico Sportsbook.