The Washington Nationals (41-82) take on the Seattle Mariners (66-56) Tuesday in the 1st game of a 2-game set at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is set for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Mariners lead 2-0
The Nationals come into town on a bit of a high after taking 2 of 4 from the San Diego Padres. They dropped the final 2 games, 2-1 both days. The Nats have allowed just 11 runs in the last 5 games.
The Mariners continue to maintain the final AL wild-card slot and are 2 1/2 games ahead of Baltimore. They are 6-4, 11-9 and 16-14 in the last 10, 20 and 30 games respectively. The M’s are about the same at home (31-26) as they are on the road (35-30).
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Nationals at Mariners projected starters
RHP Erick Fedde vs. LHP Robbie Ray
Fedde (5-7, 4.95 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 92 2/3 IP.
- In July 13 start vs. Seattle: 5 1/3 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 1 K
- Struggles on the road: 5.53 ERA, 1.68 WHIP, 5.5 K/9 vs. 4.47 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.9 K/9 at home
Ray (9-8, 3.87 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 142 IP.
- Last 3 starts: 2.33 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 12.57 K/9
- Much better at home: 2.80 ERA, 0.98 WHIP vs. 5.25 ERA and 1.48 WHIP
Nationals at Mariners odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:08 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Nationals +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Mariners -290 (bet $290 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-103) | Mariners -1.5 (-117)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)
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Nationals at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 5, Nationals 3
Money line
The Mariners are hitting the ball with authority and have scored 5.8 runs per game in the last 10. Couple that with their ace righting the ship after a rough patch, and who has struck out 27 batters in 19 1/3 IP the last 3 starts, and this shouldn’t be close. Let’s go with MARINERS OVER 4.5 TOTAL RUNS (+100).
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Run line/Against the spread
The M’s won the previous matchups 6-4 and 2-1. But they’re tattooing the ball, and the Nats are treading water offensively with 3.2 runs per game over the last 10. The MARINERS -1.5 (-117) should be more expensive and likely will be before 1st pitch.
Over/Under
The Over is going to depend on Washington’s ability to plate 3 runs. Ray has spotted the other team at least 1 ER in 8 straight starts. The Over is 4-0-2 in Ray’s last 6 starts. It will be close, but a slight LEAN OVER 7.5 (+105) is in order.
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