The New York Mets (79-44) and New York Yankees (74-48) tangle in 2 games this week at Yankee Stadium with Monday’s 1st pitch at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Mets lead 2-0
The Mets are 4-4 on a road trip that has thus far had visits to the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies. New York pitching has been strong of late; the Mets are 11-5 with a 3.32 ERA over their last 16 games.
The Yankees have been an opponent pitching staff’s dream over recent weeks. New York’s AL entry has been shut out 5 times since Aug. 3. Over that stretch, the Yankees have gone just 4-13 while scoring 2.88 runs per game on a .595 OPS.
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Mets at Yankees projected starters
RHP Max Scherzer vs. RHP Domingo German
Scherzer (9-2, 2.15 ERA) has made 17 starts this season. He owns a 0.93 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 across 109 IP.
- Pitched 7 shutout frames against the Yankees on July 27. Has allowed just 1 run in his last 14 1/3 IP against the Yanks
- Has given the Mets at least 6 IP in 9 straight starts
German (1-2, 4.45 ERA) is making his 7th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 28 1/3 IP.
- Faced the Mets July 27 and allowed 2 R,5 H and 2 BB in 4 2/3 IP. Owns a 3.20 ERA since that date
- Has not allowed a home run in 3 straight starts
Mets at Yankees odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:12 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Mets -170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Yankees +135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+102) | Yankees +1.5 (-125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)
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Mets at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 5, Yankees 4
Money line
The Mets are worthy of being significant favorites in this spot. The Yanks would be a decent play against the grain at +145 or +150. But a line move that far seems unlikely.
STEER CLEAR.
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Run line/Against the spread
Peg these 2 offenses as being either bloated (Mets) or undercut (Yankees) by recent situational results. That same principle holds up in the Yankees’ recent won-loss record, so there is a sliver of room for profit on the YANKEES +1.5 (-125).
Over/Under
These Big Apple foes have combined for 9 total runs in 7 of their last 9 meetings. The Scherzer half of this starting mound match-up (and the Yankees’ recent woes with the bats) makes for low total here.
But the price is attractive in shading something higher. Consider a partial-unit play on the OVER 7.5 (-102).
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