The Cleveland Guardians (58-52) and the Detroit Tigers (43-69) battle in the finale of a 3-game set at Comerica Park Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Series tied 7-7
The Guardians eked out a 3-2 victory Wednesday, scoring all 3 of their runs in the first 2 innings. RHP Aaron Civale allowed both of Detroit’s runs in the 4th inning before giving away to 5-scoreless frames from the bullpen.
Cleveland has now won 5 straight games against Detroit. The Tigers have dropped 6 of their last 7 contests overall.
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Guardians at Tigers projected starters
RHP Zach Plesac vs. RHP Garrett Hill
Plesac (2-10, 4.49 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 108 1/3 IP.
- Has an awful 1-7 record and 5.31 ERA with 8 HR allowed in 59 1/3 IP across 11 road starts.
- Is 0-5 with a 6.21 ERA across 29 IP over 6 starts since the beginning of July.
- Has managed an 0-1 record, 3.72 ERA and .286 opponent batting average across 9 2/3 IP over 2 starts vs. Detroit this season.
Hill (2-3, 5.12 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 through 31 2/3 IP.
- Has posted a 2-0 record with a 2.70 ERA and .210 opponent BA in 16 2/3 IP in 3 home starts vs. an 0-3 record, 7.80 ERA and .279 opponent BA in 15 IP in 3 road outings.
- Picked up his 1st career win in his major league debut against the Guardians July 4 with just 1 ER on 2 H and 1 BB with 3 K across 6 IP.
Guardians at Tigers odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:30 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Guardians -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Tigers +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (-103) | Tigers +1.5 (-117)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Guardians at Tigers picks and predictions
Prediction
Tigers 7, Guardians 4
Money line
The TIGERS (+135) are a value play at home as they look to avoid the broom in the series finale.
Plesac has been very giving this season, especially on the road, while Hill has been tremendous so far in his home park. The rookie also has confidence against the Guardians after beating them in his MLB debut July 4.
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Run line/Against the spread
The TIGERS +1.5 (-117) are just 2-9 across their last 11 games, but they’re a strong play in Thursday’s day game with Plesac on the bump. Hill has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 3 of his last 4 outings, and he’ll cool off the Guardians bats in this one.
Over/Under
Play the OVER 8.5 (-112) with the very giving Plesac starting. Yes, the Under is 7-2 across his past 9 outings, but he has allowed 4 or more earned runs in 3 of his past 5 outings, including July 15 at home against Detroit in a no-decision. That outing ended up going Over, too.
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