Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (36-75) and Chicago Cubs (44-64) meet Tuesday at 8:05 p.m. ET for the middle contest of a 3-game series at Wrigley Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cubs lead 1-0

Washington was doubled up 6-3 in Monday’s series opener and has been outscored 51-20 while losing 6 straight games. The Nats are just 7-27 with a bloated 5.94 ERA in their last 34 games.

Chicago has played well at home lately. The Cubs own a 1.39 ERA and a 6-3 record over their last 9 games at Wrigley Field.

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Nationals at Cubs projected starters

RHP Paolo Espino vs. RHP Marcus Stroman

Espino (0-4, 4.20 ERA) has appeared in 30 games and made 10 starts. He owns a 1.27 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 70 2/3 IP.

  • Owns a 5.52 ERA and 1.43 WHIP as a starter vs. a 2.03 ERA and 1.01 WHIP as a relief pitcher.
  • Roughed up for 5 runs on 7 hits over 4 innings in his last start at the Philadelphia Phillies Thursday.

Stroman (3-5, 4.00 ERA) is making his 15th start of the season. He has registered a 1.14 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 74 1/3 IP.

  • Owns a 1.67 ERA and 1.00 WHIP since returning from the IL (shoulder) July 9.
  • Owns a 7.94 ERA and 1.50 WHIP at home albeit in the small sample size of 22 2/3 IP.

Nationals at Cubs odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Cubs -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-130) | Cubs -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Nationals at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 5, Nationals 3

Money line

Over his recent stretch of success, Stroman has induced a lot more ground balls (51.6% last 30 days) while pounding the strike zone with first-pitch strikes. The Cubs’ righty has faced all top-end offensive clubs over his 5-game surge and he draws a Nationals foe Tuesday which is anything but.

The Cubs are playing well at home and have an edge in the starter matchup and bullpen are a decent play up to -195. Otherwise, STEER CLEAR.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Nats play in a below-average number of 1-run games.

BACK THE CUBS -1.5 (+105).

Over/Under

Both offenses have some growth potential in run scoring based on their quality of contact and support analytics. However, Tuesday’s weather report featuring an inbound breeze and the Stroman half of the starting mound equation work against that Over lean.

PASS.

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