The Colorado Rockies (47-62) take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (47-58) in the 2nd game of their 3-game series in Phoenix. First pitch is 8:10 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Rockies lead 6-5
The Rockies blew a 3-run lead in the final 3 innings of the series opener Friday night to lose 6-5. They have lost 6 of their last 7 and 8 out of their last 10 games.
The Diamondbacks won for the 2nd time in their last 3 games but have lost 5 of their last 7 games.
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Rockies at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP Antonio Senzatela vs. RHP Merrill Kelly
Senzatela (3-6, 4.87 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.71 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 through 77 2/3 IP.
- He has allowed exactly 3 runs in each of his last 4 outings.
- In his July 1 start against Arizona, he lasted only 2 innings, allowing 3 runs on 4 hits in a 9-3 loss.
- The Rockies are 2-9 in his last 11 starts.
Kelly (10-5, 2.87 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 125 1/3 IP.
- In 6 starts in July, he was 4-0 with a 1.31 ERA.
- Did not allow a run in his last 2 starts.
- Has allowed 2 or fewer runs in all of his last 6 starts.
- Is 2-0 with a 1.15 ERA in 2 starts against Colorado.
Rockies at Diamondbacks odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:40 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Rockies +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Diamondbacks -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-140) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Rockies at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 5, Rockies 2
Money line
The Rockies have the fewest road runs in baseball. They have lost 8 of their last 10 games and are facing one of the hottest pitchers in the majors right now in Kelly.
Kelly has been rolling for the last month and has not allowed a run in his last 2 starts.
The Diamondbacks also have been solid against losing teams. They are 31-24 against teams with a .500 record or worse.
But at -190, there’s too much juice for any action on the money line. PASS.
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Run line/Against the spread
The Rockies, despite losing 8 of their last 10 games, are 5-5 ATS in that span.
But Arizona is 31-24 ATS at home this season. The Rockies covered the spread in the series opener.
Nine of Arizona’s 11 wins with Kelly on the mound have been by at least 2 runs. Eleven of the Diamondbacks’ last 13 wins have been by 2 or more runs.
Take the DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+115).
Over/Under
With Kelly absolutely dealing for the last month, don’t expect much from the Colorado bats. His last 4 starts have all had fewer than 8 total runs.
Six of the 11 games between these teams have had 8 or more runs.
Take UNDER 7.5 (+105).
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