The Milwaukee Brewers (57-44) and Boston Red Sox (50-52) close out a 3-game interleague series Sunday at 1:35 p.m. ET at Fenway Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Milwaukee leads 2-0
The Brewers are looking to sweep this series and have won 7 of their last 8. Milwaukee went into the All-Star break having lost 8 of 11. Since the break, the Brewers are 7-1 with a robust .910 OPS at the plate.
Boston has lost 9 of its last 11. On July 10, the Red Sox were 8 games over .500 (47-39) and in 2nd place in the AL East. Since that date, they are 3-13 with a Boeing 7.33 ERA.
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Brewers at Red Sox projected starters
LHP Aaron Ashby vs. RHP Josh Winckowski
Ashby (2-8, 4.38 ERA) has appeared in 19 games (13 starts). He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 through 76 IP.
- Notched career-highs in innings pitched (7) and pitches (111) in his last start: 7 IP, 5H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 9K vs. Colorado July 25.
- Owns a 3.63 ERA over his last 4 outings.
Winckowski (3-5, 5.18 ERA) owns a 1.50 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 through 40 IP across 8 starts.
- Has coughed up 14 runs — and 5 home runs — over his last 14 IP.
- Facing a Milwaukee club at its best against right-handed pitching (.757 OPS, 4th MLB).
Brewers at Red Sox odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Brewers -145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Red Sox +120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+110) | Red Sox +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Brewers at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 5, Red Sox 4
Money line
Boston has played a much tougher schedule of late. But with scuffling Winckowski on the bump, it will take plus-money closer to +130 to get to acceptable action leverage. PASS otherwise.
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Run line/Against the spread
Both clubs have played a lot of 1-run games. Boston’s relief corps is in much better shape heading into this series finale.
The Sox are at their best when facing lefty hurlers (.760 OPS).
BACK THE RED SOX +1.5 (-135).
Over/Under
Both bullpens have better underlying numbers than surface numbers. The same goes for both starters.
There is a lean in principle on the Under 9.5 (-112). But the pricing here seems to be counter to the market by more than a few cents. Hold out for a -107 or better on the 9.5 total.
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