The Chicago Cubs (32-47) and Milwaukee Brewers (46-35) begin a 3-game series Monday at American Family Field with 1st pitch at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Tied 5-5
Milwaukee finished their 6-game road trip going 4-2 with a 2-0 victory Sunday against the Pittsburgh Pirates..
The Cubs failed to extend their 4-game winning streak and were unable to get their first sweep of the season, losing 4-2 at home against the Boston Red Sox.
Cubs at Brewers projected starters
LHP Justin Steele vs. LHP Eric Lauer
Steele (3-5, 4.39 ERA) will make his 16th start this season. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 69 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Won 8-3 Wednesday vs. the Cincinnati Reds with 5 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 6 K.
- Has allowed 2 runs or less in 4 of his last 5 starts, but earned a no-decision in 3 of those games.
- 75% of his walks comes against right-handed batters.
Lauer (6-3, 4.02 ERA) will make his 15th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 50 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision in Wednesday’s 5-3 win vs. the Tampa Bay Rays with 4.1 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 3 K.
- Had a 6.83 ERA in June with opposing batters hitting .284.
- His 24% strikeout percentage is the highest of his 5-year career.
Cubs at Brewers odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 12:29 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Cubs +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Brewers -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-160) | Brewers -1.5 (+130)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Cubs at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 6, Cubs 5
Money line
LEAN BREWERS (-155)
The Brewers post the 5th-best win percentage in MLB after a win and they are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
On the flip side, the Cubs struggle after a loss, winning 40% of the time.
The Brewers are also 26-15 against the NL Central, while posting losing records against the NL East and NL West.
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Run line/Against the spread
In their 10 head-to-head matchups this season, half of them were 1-run games, but Cubs +1.5 (-160) is just too pricey. It’s best to AVOID.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER (-130)
The Cubs hit the Over in their last 4 games against a left-handed starter and the Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Milwaukee.
The Cubs also have 4 players, Wilson Contreras, Yan Gomes, Ian Happ, and Andrelton Simmons who have a 1.00 OPS or greater against Lauer. And the Cubs are 4th in MLB with a .326 OPS.
While the Brewers’ Christian Yelich ranks 83rd in 2022 with a .742 OPS, this year against Steele he is has a whopping 1.143 OPS. He is also batting .290 against the Cubs this season.
I expect the bats to show up this 4th of July.
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