The Colorado Rockies (30-40) head to the Twin Cities to face the Minnesota Twins (39-32) Friday in the 1st of a 3-game set at Target Field. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: This is their first meeting of the season and first meeting since the 2017 season. The Twins lead the all-time series 8-7.
Colorado has been hot and cold. The Rockies were swept by the Cleveland Guardians, they swept the San Diego Padres and were just swept by the Miami Marlins. Colorado is 11-22 on the road. Its road splits are well-documented. The Rockies have a .239/.297/.338 slash line as opposed to a .279/.347/.452 slash line at home.
Minnesota is also struggling, just 4-6 in the last 10. OF Byron Buxton has already tied a career high with 19 homers in just 193 at-bats. His .228 BA and .312 OBP are horrendous though.
Rockies at Twins projected starters
RHP German Marquez vs. RHP Dylan Bundy
Marquez (3-5, 6.16 ERA) makes his 14th start on the season. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and a 8.1 K/9 in 73 IP.
- Has a 6.70 ERA at home and is not much better on the road with a 5.34 ERA. Has 12 BB in 28 2/3 innings on the road.
- Has allowed 3+ ER in 11 of last 13 starts.
Bundy (4-3, 5.17 ERA) makes his 12th start of the season. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 54 IP.
- Won last start vs. Arizona Diamondbacks June 18 with 8 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 7 K.
- Completely different pitcher at home with a 2.29 ERA as opposed to 6.82 ERA on the road.
- His K/9 is a career low and 1 strikeout lower than last season. His 4-seam fastball is 1.4 mph slower than last season at 89.3 mph.
Rockies at Twins odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:03 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Rockies +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Twins -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-150) | Twins -1.5 (+122)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)
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Rockies at Twins picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 6, Rockies 3
Money line
There is a 29% chance of rain on a 90-degree day. The wind is blowing to left at 12 mph, which could make some fly balls interesting. The Twins are 21-16 at home and should cruise in this series. The Twins’ line went up slightly overnight, but the TWINS (-160) is still within our price range.
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Run line/Against the spread
The Twins need to make a statement after losing 4 of 6 and falling into a tie in the division. You don’t think of offense when you think of Minnesota, but they’re 9th in MLB in BA and 6th in OPS. 1B Luis Arraez, in the midst of a breakout season with a .349 BA, should continue to force the issue on the Rockies’ 28th-ranked defense. He’s hitting .378 the last 30 days. We’ll LEAN TWINS -1.5 (+122).
Over/Under
This is a pretty high number to try to forecast on 2 teams that haven’t played each other in 5 years. If anything I’d shade a little to the Under, but there are trends going in both directions. PASS.
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