The Detroit Tigers (26-42) face the Boston Red Sox (38-31) Wednesday in the finale of a 3-game set at Fenway Park. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Boston leads 4-1.
The Tigers have lost 8 of 10, including the last 2 to Boston by scores of 5-4 and 5-2. They have fought hard against Boston, only losing by more than 2 runs once in the 5 games they’ve played.
After a slow start, the Red Sox are rolling. They’re 21-9 in the last 30 games and have thrust themselves into the wild card picture. SS Xander Bogaerts (.335), DH J.D. Martinez (.330) and 3B Rafael Devers (.328) are 3rd-5th in the race for the AL batting title. The Red Sox are also 7th in Runs/9 allowed in baseball.
Tigers at Red Sox projected starters
LHP Tarik Skubal vs. RHP Michael Wacha
Skubal (5-4, 3.13 ERA) makes his 14th start of the season. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 74 2/3 innings.
- Has been lit up for a 6.75 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in his last 3 starts.
- Has 1 career start against Boston, in 2021. Got the win Aug. 5 with 5 IP, 0 R, 5 H, 1 BB and 4 K in Tigers’ 8-1 victory.
Wacha (5-1, 2.28 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and a 6.2 K/9 in 59 1/3 IP.
- Has a 1.85 ERA in his last 4 starts.
- Allowed 1 ER on 2 H, 3 BB and 4 K’s in 4 1/3 IP in a no-decision against the Tigers April 11.
- Current Tigers hitters have hit .226 with a .285 weighted on-base average in 73 plate appearances against him.
Tigers at Red Sox odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:39 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Tigers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Red Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-190) | Red Sox -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Tigers at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 5, Tigers 3
Money line
It’s 64 degrees with the wind blowing in at 11 mph at Fenway, which should favor the pitchers. Wacha has been living dangerously with a 93-mph fastball and low swing-and-miss rates, but he’s getting the job done. He’s 2-1 with a 1.03 ERA at Fenway this year. The books aren’t believers, but we have every reason to take RED SOX (-135) for a FULL UNIT.
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Run line/Against the spread
The Red Sox’s bullpen is pretty average with a 3.85 ERA, but it’s in good shape as far as rest goes. The Red Sox have won 7 of 10, and 5 of them have been by 2 or more runs. With Skubal scuffling, and the Tigers last with 2.96 Runs/9, we’ll LEAN RED SOX -1.5 (+155).
Over/Under
The Under is 4-0 in Skubal’s last 4 starts as an underdog and Detroit’s last 4 against teams with a winning record. The Under is 4-0 in Boston’s last 4 against a LHP. The Under is 7-1 in the last 8 between these teams. With the chilly wind blowing in and these Under trends, we’ll LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-125).
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