The New York Yankees (49-17) and Tampa Bay Rays (36-30) tangle in a 3-game AL East series at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Fla. Monday’s opener is slated for a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: New York leads their AL East rivals 5-2. The Yankees swept the Rays 3-0 last week at Yankee Stadium.
The Yankees spit the bit on a 6-2 lead and had a 9-game win streak snapped in Sunday’s 10-9 loss at Toronto. During the 9-game run, N.Y. outscored foes 62-19. New York heads into this series ranked 1st in MLB in runs (1.15 per game) and runs allowed (2.98).
The Rays are back home after a 2-7 road trip. Including 2 of its 3 setbacks against the Yankees, 5 of Tampa Bay’s 7 losses were of the 1-run variety.
Yankees at Rays projected starters
RHP Gerrit Cole vs. LHP Shane McClanahan
Cole (6-1, 3.33 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 in 73 IP.
- Has faced the Rays twice in his last 4 starts: 1 ER on 7 hits in 12 IP. He’s held current Tampa batters to an aggregate .653 OPS over his career.
- Shelled in his last road start (7R allowed in 2 1/3 IP at Minnesota June 9) and owns a 4.60 ERA, 1.40 WHIP in 6 road starts in 2022.
McClanahan (7-3, 1.84 ERA) has notched a 0.86 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 in 78 1/3 IP over 13 starts.
- Has faced the Yankees twice this season (2 ER in 12 IP) and has held current New York bats to a low-contact .661 OPS in his career.
- Allowed 4R to the Yankees in June 15 start, but 3 of those were unearned. Has clocked a tidy 0.98 ERA in his last 7 starts.
Yankees at Rays odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 12:09 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees -135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Rays +110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL): Yankees -1.5 (+135) | Rays +1.5 (-170)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Yankees at Rays picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 4, Rays 2
Money line
Look for New York to bounce back after a sloppy Sunday game. But in this pitching matchup and Tampa having a rested bullpen, a Yankees price higher than -120 should be AVOIDED.
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Run line/Against the spread
The Yanks have allowed 7 or more runs 5 times this season. Their next-time-out contest has resulted in 5 wins with an average margin of victory of 3.0.
Consider a partial-unit play on NEW YORK -1.5 (+135).
Over/Under
The Yanks have some underlying statistics that point to fewer runs for the offense and more for the pitching and defense. The Rays counter with some offensive numbers that might figure as suspect.
New York hasn’t banged the ball around Tropicana. The UNDER 6.5 (-115) IS A LEAN, but its perhaps just a low-scale wager unless the price were to dip to -110.
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