The Cleveland Guardians (33-27) stop by Dodger Stadium Saturday for the 2nd of their 3-game series with the Los Angeles Dodgers (39-24). First pitch is set for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Cleveland won the series opener 2-1 in extra innings Friday as both lineups failed to capitalize on chances. The Guardians and Dodgers left 18 men on base and hit a combined 2-for-19 with runners in scoring position. Friday’s Guardians-Dodgers game was their 1st meeting of the season.
Guardians at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Cal Quantrill vs. LHP Julio Urias
Quantrill is 4-3 with a 3.38 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 in 66 2/3 IP over 11 starts.
- Last start: Win, 6-3, at home vs. the Oakland Athletics Sunday with 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 4 K.
Urias is 3-6 with a 2.80 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 64 1/3 IP over 12 starts.
- Last start: Loss, 2-0, Sunday at the San Francisco Giants with 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 HR, 0 BB and 10 K.
Guardians at Dodgers odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Guardians +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-110) | Dodgers -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Guardians at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 4, Guardians 2
Money line
PASS.
We are getting to the party late on the Dodgers (-250) since they opened at -200 (according to Pregame.com) but have been steamed up to the current number and L.A. isn’t profitable in this spot.
The Dodgers are 8-5 overall as home favorites of -200 or greater vs. right-handed starters with a minus-23.7% return on investment (ROI).
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Run line/Against the spread
BET a half-unit on the DODGERS -1.5 (-110) because all 8 of their wins as home favorites of -200 or greater vs. right-handed starters were by at least 2 runs and L.A. has a plus-3.8% ROI on the RL in those situations.
There’s also been sharp line movement in L.A.’s direction and the Dodgers are 16-14 RL as home favorites.
L.A. has an edge in 2 of the 3 most important phases of the game: Starting pitching and hitting. Urias has better advanced pitching stats than Quantrill and Cleveland’s lineup ranks 25th in wRC+ (87) and 26th in wOBA (.286) vs. left-handed pitching, per FanGraphs.
Go light on the DODGERS -1.5 (-110) since there isn’t a ton of value in this number but L.A. is the right side.
Over/Under
Slight LEAN to the UNDER 7.5 (+105) only because we’d be getting the worst of the number since the Guardians-Dodgers opened with an 8.5-run total.
But, Cleveland is 0-3-1 O/U in the last 4 games and L.A. is 0-5-1 O/U in the last 6 games and 2-9 O/U in Urias’ 11 starts this year.
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