The Milwaukee Brewers (35-29) take on the New York Mets (41-23) in the finale of their 3-game series Thursday in New York. First pitch is 7:10 p.m. ET at Citi Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The season series is tied 1-1.
The Brewers bounced back for a 10-2 win Wednesday after losing the series opener 4-0. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but those are their only 2 wins in their last 11 contests.
The Mets have the most wins in the National League. They are 12-6 in their last 18 games.
Brewers at Mets projected starters
LHP Aaron Ashby vs. RHP Tylor Megill
Ashby (1-5, 3.91 ERA) makes his 8th start and 14th appearance. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 through 50 2/3 IP.
- Has lost his last 2 starts.
- Was knocked around for 6 runs on 13 hits across 4 2/3 innings in his last outing at the Washington Nationals Friday.
- Is 1-3 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in his 7 starts.
Megill (4-2, 4.50 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 38 IP.
- Has lost his last 2 decisions but the Mets are 6-2 when he starts.
- Lasted just 1 1/3 innings and 3 1/3 innings in his last 2 outings.
Brewers at Mets odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Brewers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Mets -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-190) | Mets -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Brewers at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 6, Brewers 4
Money line
The Mets’ loss Wednesday snapped a 9-game home win streak and are 20-9 at Citi Field this season.
The Brewers are 20-17 on the road but are 2-9 in their last 11 games and Ashby has allowed 10 earned runs in his last 10 2/3 innings.
Take the METS (-135).
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Run line/Against the spread
Eight of the Brewers’ last 9 losses have been by more than 1 run.
The Mets are 16-13 ATS at home this season and 16 of their last 18 wins have been by 2 or more runs. Five of their 6 wins with Megill as the starter were by multiple runs.
Take the METS -1.5 (+155).
Over/Under
Seven of the last 10 games for the Mets have had at least 9 runs. Nine of their last 12 wins have had totals of 9 or more.
Five of the last 7 games for the Brewers have had 9 or more runs.
Take OVER 8.5 (+100).
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