The Cincinnati Reds (23-39) try to complete a 3-game road sweep over the Arizona Diamondbacks (29-35) in their series finale Wednesday afternoon. First pitch is 3:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The Reds hold a 4-2 lead in the season series entering the teams final 2022 meeting.
After winning the first game of the series 5-4, the Reds followed it up with a 5-3 win Tuesday in 12 innings. They have won 3 games in a row.
The Diamondbacks have lost 4 of their last 5 games and 8 of their last 11.
Red at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Zac Gallen
Castillo (2-4, 3.23 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 39 IP.
- Has lost his last 2 starts. Pitched well in Friday’s 2-0 loss to the St. Louis Cardinals with 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 3 K..
- Had 1 start allowing 5 runs, but has not allowed more than 3 ER in any other start this season.
Gallen (4-2, 2.95 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 58 IP.
- Coming off his worst outing of the year. In Friday’s 7-5 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies, he gave up 6 R (4 ER) on 7 H (2 HR) with 1 BB and 3 K in 1 2/3 IP.
- Has allowed 2 or fewer ER in 9 of his 11 starts.
Reds at Diamondbacks odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:14 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Reds +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+165) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-205)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)
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Reds at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 6, Reds 3
Money line
The Reds have won 3 games in a row but have not swept an opponent in a 3-game series yet this season.
The Diamondbacks have only been swept in a series by the Dodgers, once at home and once on the road.
Arizona is 7-4 when Gallen starts.
Expect the home team to bounce back.
Take the DIAMONDBACKS (-120).
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Run line/Against the spread
For the 2nd day in a row, the Diamondbacks are favored on the money line, but underdogs on the run line.
If you like the Reds to win this game, it would be an appealing bet to put some action on them to cover because of the payout. However, while they have played well as of late, the fact they have yet to sweep an opponent in a 3-game series makes it tough to think they can do it.
There isn’t enough value for a bet on the Diamondbacks to cover, as you have to wager more than twice what you can win. PASS.
Over/Under
Both games this series, and 4 of the 6 other games they’ve played, have had 8 or more runs.
Eleven of the Reds’ last 14 games have had 8 or more runs.
Five of the last 6 for the Diamondbacks and 3 of the last 4 starts for Gallen have had 8 or more runs.
Take OVER 7.5 (-120).
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