The Seattle Mariners (21-29) and Baltimore Orioles (22-30) clash Thursday to conclude a 3-game series at Camden Yards. First pitch is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Tied 1-1.
After logging a 6.27 ERA from May 15-25, Seattle had rebounded to allow just 4 runs over 4 games from Friday to Tuesday. But Seattle pitching was roughed up Wednesday in a 9-2 loss to Baltimore in the 2nd game of this series. Mariners pitchers allowed 4 home runs and walked 6.
The Orioles had 4 HR Wednesday and have hit 3-or-more dingers 3 times in the last week. Over its last 7 games, Baltimore has cranked out a ,341 on-base percentage and .498 slugging mark.
Mariners at Orioles projected starters
RHP Chris Flexen vs. RHP Jordan Lyles
Flexen (2-6, 4.47 ERA) has made 9 starts this season. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 50 1/3 IP.
- Clocked a 3.10 ERA in his first 5 outings, but has been alternating hot and cold in 4 starts since. Went 7 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 6K in winning his Friday start vs. the Houston Astros.
Lyles (3-4, 4.26 ERA) owns a 1.42 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 57 IP over 10 starts.
- Only went 4 1/3 IP in Saturday start vs. Boston Red Sox, which came after throwing a season-high 117 pitches at Yankee Stadium May 23.
- Has faced Seattle 11 times in his career and has a 6.91 ERA in his 5 starts vs. the Mariners.
Mariners at Orioles odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:43 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Mariners -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Orioles -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Run line (RL): Mariners -1.5 (+135) | Orioles +1.5 (-170)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)
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Mariners at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 5, Orioles 3
Money line
The bullpens make for a Seattle lean, and the Mariners have played some clean, sharp games of late, save for Wednesday’s clunker.
Flexen was solid in his last start, and some tilt toward the 3.61 ERA he logged last year seems likely. Seattle bats own an aggregate .941 OPS against Lyles.
TAKE THE MARINERS (-115).
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Run line/Against the spread
SEATTLE -1.5 (+135) is worth a watch. The Mariners went through an April spell of winning games by 3-plus runs, so the recent stretch of easy wins — 3 by margins of margins of 5-plus in the last week — is not an outlier.
Would want a tag closer to +140 to pull the trigger.
Over/Under
Every pitching match-up and the series as a whole has spelled STEER CLEAR. Too many crisscrossing signals.
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