The New York Yankees (25-9) square off with the Baltimore Orioles (14-21) Monday in the first ofa 4-game series at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: The Yankees lead 4-2 and swept a 3-game series at Yankee Stadium at the end of April by a combined score of 27-15.
The Yanks took 3 of 4 road games against the Chicago White Sox last weekend and scored 32 runs in the series.
The Orioles were swept in Detroit and scored just 3 runs in the 3-game series. There is rain in the forecast Monday, but it’s not expected to put the game in danger.
Yankees at Orioles projected starters
RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Kyle Bradish
Severino (2-0, 4.08 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.82 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 28 2/3 IP.
- Has been hittable with a 5.74 ERA in his last 3 starts, which includes a 12-8 win over Baltimore. He allowed 4 R on 3 H and 2 BB while fanning 8 in 6 innings.
- He’s 6-1 in 11 games (9 starts) against Baltimore in his career with a 3.59 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
Bradish (1-1, 4.24 ERA) makes his 4th career start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 17 IP.
- He’s coming off an electric start against the St. Louis Cardinals. He struck out 11 in the win and allowed 2 R on 4 H and no walks in 7 innings. His slider and curveball were working well.
- Had just 5 Ks in 10 innings in his previous 2 career starts. Could this have been a turning point?
Yankees at Orioles odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:29 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Yankees -205 (bet $205 to win $100) | Orioles +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (-117) | Orioles +1.5 (-103)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)
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Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 6, Orioles 3
Money line
The Yankees offense has been awesome, scoring at least 5 runs in 5 of the last 6 games. The Orioles were fool’s gold with taking 2 of 3 in St. Louis last week as they went to Detroit and got swept. That said, we’re going to PASS on the Yankees -205. I’d consider a small prop bet of Over 4.5 (+117) strikeouts for Bradish after he fanned 11 Cardinals in his last start. He had 105 Ks in 86 2/3 innings at Triple-A Norfolk last year.
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Run line/Against the spread
Yankees DH Giancarlo Stanton is 10-for-20 (.500) with 4 homers and 12 RBIs in the last 7 days. OF Aaron Judge has a .348/3/8 line during the same stretch. The Yankees run line is a really good way to go here against a pitcher making just his 4th career start. The Yanks are also 10-6 on the run line on the road thus far. Take the YANKEES -1.5 (-117) for a full unit.
Over/Under
The Under has hit in 4 of 6 between these teams this year, but only 1 of those games featured a 7.5 or lower number. The Under hit in the Yankees’ last 2, but they nailed the Over in the 4 before that. The Under cashed in 4 in a row and 7 of 8 for the Orioles. That’s a lot of Under momentum, but we’re going against the grain. Severino has allowed at least 3 runs in his last 3 starts, and the Yankees are routinely scoring 5. LEAN OVER 7.5 (-120).
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