Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

After a high-scoring affair on Tuesday, the New York Yankees (11-6) will  host the Baltimore Orioles (6-11) Wednesday for Game 2 of their 3-game series. First pitch from Yankee Stadium will be at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: 2-2 after the Yankees won Tuesday’s game 12-8.

The Orioles got off to a painfully slow start to the season, losing 5 of their first 6 games. They’ve turned things around of late, going 3-3 in their last 6, but are now on a 2-game losing streak despite scoring 14 runs in the 2 games. The Orioles rank 27th in MLB in runs scored (52). Their pitching is slightly better, 18th in team ERA (3.73). They don’t stand out in any one category.

The Yankees are on a tear right now, winning 4 straight games and 6 of their last 7. This recent hot streak came after the Yankees dropped 2 of 3 to the Orioles in mid-April. As they have been for years, the Yankees are a powerful team at the plate, ranking 6th in slugging percentage (.409), and have hit the third-most home runs (22). They’re also 4th in team ERA (2.85) and fifth in batting average against (.207).

Orioles at Yankees projected starters

RHP Tyler Wells vs. LHP Jordan Montgomery

Wells (0-2, 6.75 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.88 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 8 IP.

  • Hasn’t made it to the fifth inning in any of his 3 starts, with his longest outing being 4 shutout innings April 16 vs. the Yankees.
  • Has allowed 2 HR and 11 H in just 8 innings pitched.
  • Orioles are 0-3 in Wells’ starts this season and 16-31 in games the former reliever has appeared in since 2021.

Montgomery (0-1, 2.51 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 14 1/3 IP.

  • Yankees are 0-3 in his 3 starts despite him allowing 3 runs or fewer each time.
  • Has allowed 1 R and 6 H in 11 IP in his last 2 starts.
  • Pitched 5 scoreless innings (3 H, 2 BB, 2 K) in April 15 game Orioles won 2-1 in extra innings.

Orioles at Yankees odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:16 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Orioles +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Yankees -260) (bet $260 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-103) | Yankees -1.5 (-117)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Orioles at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Orioles 3

Money line

The Yankees are -260 to win outright, which is not a number I’m willing to wager on. They’re only 2-2 against the Orioles this season and have been held to 1 or fewer runs twice.

I’m going to PASS on the money line.

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Run line/Against the spread

Both the Yankees and Orioles have been good ATS this season, with New York going 9-8 and Baltimore 10-7. However, the Yankees are starting to heat up at the plate, pouring 12 runs on the Orioles Tuesday thanks to 5 HRs – 3 from 1B Anthony Rizzo. OF Aaron Judge also has 3 HRs in his last 4 games, giving him 4 total on the year.

I like the YANKEES -1.5 (-117) to cover the run line and win by a few runs at home, where they’re 8-3 on the year.

Over/Under

The Under has been the better bet across MLB this season, so the fact the total has gone Over in 5 of the Yankees’ 11 home games actually puts them among the best in baseball.

In their 4 meetings this season, there has been an average of 8.75 runs scored per game. I like the OVER 8.5 (-105) at a hitter-friendly park.

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