The New York Mets (3-1) take on the Philadelphia Phillies (2-1) Monday at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. (FS1). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
This is the first meeting of 2022 between these NL East rivals. These teams met 19 times in 2021, with the Phillies winning 10 of the meetings.
The Mets won the first three games of the season in Washington, outscoring the Nats 17-4, before losing the series finale, 4-2, Sunday.
The Phillies won the first two games of the season in an interleague series against the Oakland A’s, outscoring the opposition 14-7 before falling 4-1 in the finale Sunday.
Mets at Phillies: Projected starters
RHP Taijuan Walker vs. LHP Ranger Suarez
Walker (7-11, 4.47 ERA in 2021) makes his first start of the season. He recorded 146 strikeouts with a .225 opponent batting average in 159 IP across 29 starts and one relief appearance.
- Walker was 3-7 with a 5.82 ERA in 14 starts on the road across 68 IP, with the opposition hitting .258 against him.
- Walker went 0-2 with a 3.76 ERA across five starts against Philadelphia in 2021, striking out 21 batters across 26.2 IP.
Suarez (8-5, 1.36 ERA) makes his first start of the season. He posted an impressive .194 opponent batting average across 106 IP with 107 strikeouts in 12 starts and 27 relief appearances in 2021.
- Suarez went 6-1 with three saves in 14 relief appearances and eight starts with a complete game in 65.2 IP at home in 2021.
- Suarez faced the Mets three times, including one start, while going 0-1 with a 1.93 ERA across 4 2/3 IP last season.
Mets at Phillies odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Mets +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Phillies -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-160) | Phillies -1.5 (+130)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Mets at Phillies prediction and picks
Prediction
Phillies 6, Mets 4
Money line
The PHILLIES (-155) are worth a play as moderate favorites in the series opener. Philadelphia dominated New York last season, winning six of the final seven meetings, while going 5-2 in the final seven meetings at “The Vault”. Suarez looked like the real deal, and he’ll do a good job against Walker, who struggled on the road in 2021.
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Run line/Against the spread
The PHILLIES -1.5 (+130) are worth a roll of the dice on the run line. In each of the team’s first two wins of the season, the Phils also won by at least two runs in each outing. Look for the Phils to jump all over Walker early and often.
Over/Under
The OVER 9.5 (-107) is the lean, but play it lightly.
The wind will be blowing out to straightaway center field at 9-12 mph, so that could aid the hitters. It’s always difficult to play an Under at a bandbox like Citizens Bank Park anyway, but especially so when the wind is blowing out. Forget the fact the Under was 6-0-1 in the final seven meetings between these teams last season.
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