Death, taxes and the Los Angeles Angels underperforming preseason expectations are the only sure things in this world.
Below, we look at the Los Angeles Angels’ MLB futures odds, including their projected 2022 win total and World Series odds at Tipico Sportsbook.
The Angels have fallen short of their win total for four consecutive seasons despite having this era’s Mickey Mantle in CF Mike Trout. In fact, L.A. has made the postseason just once in Trout’s legendary 11-year career (2014).
2022 feels eerily similar to every other Angels’ preseason: L.A. made a notable free-agent pickup by signing SP Noah Syndergaard and its lineup, on paper, is one of the best in the AL.
Will things be different in L.A. this year or will this be another season of the Angels not being a factor come October?
Los Angeles Angels’ 2022 World Series odds
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday, April 2 at 8 a.m. ET.
Odds: +3000 (bet $100 to win $3,000)
PASS because I cannot find a path to the World Series for the Angels because they didn’t do enough to bolster their pitching.
Aside from Syndergaard, no one in L.A.’s rotation has meaningful playoff experience, and Syndergaard has only pitched 2 innings since the start of 2020. L.A.’s bullpen has the potential to be a top-10 unit in the MLB, but it’s not good enough to make up for a below-average rotation.
Also, L.A.’s lineup was 23rd in WAR last season (according to FanGraphs) despite SP/DH Shohei Ohtani hitting the third-most home runs in the AL and a breakout season from 2021 All-Star 1B Jared Walsh.
Granted, Trout and 3B Anthony Rendon missed most of the season, but there’s always an excuse for the Angels underperforming.
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Los Angeles Angels’ 2022 playoff odds
Will the Angels make the playoffs: Yes +150 | No -180
PASS because the Angels’ “Yes, to make the playoffs” (+150) has an implied win probability of 40.0%, but L.A. might make the postseason in 30.0% of the 2022 regular-season simulations.
Furthermore, I have the Angels power ranked as the third-best team in the AL West, not second, and there are six better teams than L.A. in the other two AL divisions.
That said, L.A.’s “No, to make the playoffs” (-180) is set at a price point I won’t bet when shopping for team futures. The Angels aren’t a big enough “lock” to miss the playoffs to tie up our money for six months on a -180 line.
Los Angeles Angels’ 2022 win total
Over/Under: 83.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
BET ANGELS UNDER 83.5 WINS (-105) because I don’t see how this L.A. team is that much different than the previous four that have all fallen short of their win totals.
The Angels have the 28th-ranked farm system and just one prospect in the top-100. So if L.A. gets bitten by the injury bug it cannot rely on reinforcements from the minor leagues. Organizational depth is one of the biggest things I look at when assessing a teams’ regular-season win total.
On top of that, L.A. was tied for the fourth-highest luck factor at plus-4 in 2021, which essentially means the Angels had four more wins than they should based on run differential.
Also, Trout and Ohtani have a combined four MVP awards, and the Angels have gone Over their win total just once in those years. L.A. could still go Under the total even if Trout and Ohtani both play up to standard.
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Odds to win AL West Division
- Houston Astros -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
- Los Angeles Angels +330 (bet $100 to win $330)
- Seattle Mariners +480 (bet $100 to win $480)
- Texas Rangers +1500 (bet $100 to win $1,500)
- Oakland Athletics +2000 (bet $100 to win $2,000)
PASS because I might take a stab at the Angels to win the division if their price was north of +700, and I wouldn’t be shocked if L.A. finished last in the AL West.
The Astros have won the division in 4 of the past 5 seasons and are priced appropriately. I have the Mariners power ranked as my second-best team in the AL West. I’m higher on the Rangers’ offseason moves than L.A.’s. The A’s come from nowhere to compete for the division every so often.
Also, the Angels had the fourth-worst division record in baseball last season at 29-47.
Odds to win American League
Odds: +1500 (bet $100 to win $1,500)
PASS considering I don’t see the Angels making the playoffs – so how could they win the pennant?
If things look different in L.A. around the All-Star break, maybe there’ll be some value in taking the Angels to win the AL at that point.
Pre-flop? PASS.
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