The Toronto Blue Jays hope to pick up where they left off last season, finishing 22-9 down the stretch starting Sept. 1. However, they just missed the American League Wild Card by only 1 game.
Below, we look at the Toronto Blue Jays’ MLB futures odds, including their projected 2022 win total and World Series odds at Tipico Sportsbook.
Toronto acquired SP Kevin Gausman with a massive deal and extended SP Jose Berrios, who it acquired at last year’s trade deadline.
Blue Jays 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. led the AL in WAR last season (per FanGraphs) and is joined by fellow All-Stars RF Teoscar Hernández and SS Bo Bichette in Toronto’s dynamite lineup.
Toronto Blue Jays’ 2022 World Series odds
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday, March 27 at 11:23 p.m. ET.
Odds: +900 (bet $100 to win $900)
PASS. Let’s slow our roll on Toronto.
The Blue Jays are tied with the Houston Astros for the second-best odds to win the World Series, jumping head of the other two 2021 AL division winners in the Chicago White Sox (+1200) and the Tampa Bay Rays (+1300).
While there’s a world where the Blue Jays go all the way, I’m not sold they’ve done enough to surpass the Rays or the New York Yankees to win their own division, let alone the pennant and World Series.
Also, I’m skeptical the Blue Jays have the arms in the bullpen for fall baseball and there isn’t a starter in their rotation with any postseason success.
Last season, Toronto’s bullpen was 25th in WAR and 20th in hard-hit rate and FIP, and the Blue Jays didn’t do much to help their bullpen this offseason.
Finally, we could get a better price on Toronto winning the World Series in October if it makes the postseason as a Wild Card.
PASS on the BLUE JAYS TO WIN WORLD SERIES.
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Toronto Blue Jays’ 2022 playoff odds
Will the Blue Jays make the playoffs: Yes -400 | No +300
PASS.
Toronto should be in the playoffs come October, but I wouldn’t tie my money up in a -400 future that won’t be graded for six months.
Lastly, the new 12-team playoff format could lead to better teams getting bounced out in the Wild-Card round via a 3-game series. It would be terrible losing a -400 future because of an inaugural playoff format.
Toronto Blue Jays’ 2022 win total
Over/Under: 91.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
BET the BLUE JAYS OVER 91.5 WINS (-115) partially because they had the second-worst luck in 2021 at minus-8 (per Baseball-Reference.com). Essentially, Toronto won eight fewer games than it should based on run differential.
Also, the Blue Jays could siphon some wins from their AL East co-tenants. Tampa Bay won’t win 100 games again, New York was second in luck factor at plus-6 and Boston was fifth in luck last season at plus-4.
Furthermore, we can pencil in Toronto for having one of the best lineups in baseball and should have one of the better rotations in the AL with Berrios and SP Alek Manoah on the staff for a full year.
Berrios is a “top of the rotation” starter at almost any club and Manoah is my “sleeper” for the AL Cy Young. Manoah was called up to The Show at the end of May last year and was sixth in hard-hit rate, 13th in exit velocity and 16th in WHIP for starters with a minimum of 110 innings pitched.
BLUE JAYS OVER 91.5 WINS (-115) is Toronto’s best future bet.
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Odds to win AL East Division
- Toronto Blue Jays +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
- New York Yankees +230 (bet $100 to win $230)
- Tampa Bay Rays +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
- Boston Red Sox +480 (bet $100 to win $480)
- Baltimore Orioles +20000 (bet $100 to win $20,000)
PASS because there’s really no good price for a team in the stacked AL East.
You could make a solid argument for any of the top-3 lines. The Red Sox return most of their team that reached Game 6 of the American League Championship Series last season.
The bottom line is the Blue Jays (+170) to win the AL East has an implied win probability of 37.0% and Toronto doesn’t win this division that often if we simulated the 2022 season 100 times.
Odds to win American League
Odds: +450 (bet $100 to win $450)
PASS. I disagree with Toronto being ahead of Tampa Bay and New York in the market for AL pennant winner. If the Blue Jays were at +800 to go to the World Series, maybe I’d lobby for a wager here.
Also, there are enough “ifs” with Toronto to make the Blue Jays (+450) to win the AL a stay-away.
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