The seventh-seeded Michigan State Spartans (22-11) and third-seeded Purdue Boilermakers (26-6) clash in a Big Ten Tournament semifinal game Saturday in Indianapolis. Tip-off at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is slated for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Michigan State vs. Purdue odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Michigan State advanced to the Big Ten’s semifinal with a 69-63 win over second-seeded Wisconsin Friday. The Spartans have shot the ball well and been terrific on defense across three straight wins. MSU has allowed a mere 38.4% mark from the floor over that stretch.
No.9 Purdue defeated Penn State 69-61 in Friday’s quarterfinal. The Boilermakers are 11-3 over their last 14, but one of the three losses in that stretch was a 68-65 setback at MSU Feb. 26. That loss snapped a four-game Purdue win streak in the series. PU is 5-3 SU and 6-1-1 ATS against the Spartans since 2017.
Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Michigan State vs. Purdue odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Michigan State +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Purdue -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Michigan State +5.5 (-112) | Purdue -5.5 (-108)
- Over/Under (O/U): 142.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Michigan State vs. Purdue odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Purdue 77, Michigan State 71
Money line
Purdue is a lean — albeit an expensive one — near -200 or -205. However, that price is locked up here. PASS.
Against the spread
The Boilermakers and Spartans were engaged in a seesaw battle Feb. 26, but host MSU went on a 9-0 run in the middle of the second half to take control. Purdue managed a late comeback but spent all its momentum capital getting back within a single possession and eventually lost by the 3-point margin.
Expect the Boilermakers — who hit just one triple that day — to play well in this revenge spot. Look for PU to win the exchanges in turnovers, rebounds, and free throws.
TAKE PURDUE -5.5 (-108).
Over/Under
High-scoring Purdue (80.7 points per game, seventh nationally) has played in four straight Unders. Against a faster Michigan State squad and with the Boilermakers due for positive regression to better shooting, the play in this one is the OVER 142.5 (-112).
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