The Sacramento Kings (23-41) visit the AT&T Center Thursday to take on the San Antonio Spurs (24-38). Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Kings vs. Spurs odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
The Kings are coming off a 30-point road loss to the Pelicans yesterday and will be back in action tonight. They’re 6-6 against the spread (ATS) on the second night of a back-to-back.
That’s actually better than their 29-35 ATS record on the season. Sacramento is just 8-23 straight up on the road as well. While the Kings do average the 14th most points per game, 110, they give up the 29th most at 115.2.
The Spurs are similar, ranking 7th in points per game, 112.7, and 27th in opponents points per game, 112.8. San Antonio is 14-15 ATS at home.
The Spurs have a 32-29-1 ATS record on the season – yet have a better winning percentage on the road than at home (13-20 away, 11-18 home). They’re led by All-Star G Dejounte Murray.
Kings at Spurs odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Kings +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Spurs -290 (bet $290 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Kings +6.5 (-108) | Spurs -6.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 240.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
Kings at Spurs key injuries
Kings
- PF Richaun Holmes (back) questionable
Spurs
- F Doug McDermott (knee) questionable
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Kings at Spurs odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Spurs 122, Kings 114
Money line
PASS.
The only playable side here is Kings +225 as the Spurs haven’t been close to good enough at home to warrant a -290 tag. Nonetheless, the points are the route to go.
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Against the spread
“LEAN” the SPURS -6.5 (-112).
The home side has been able to get the better of the spread in each of two times these teams have played. The Spurs won, 136-117, at home in November and Kings won, 121-114, in mid-December.
Since then, the Kings have changed quite a bit, but it’s difficult to say it has been for the better, just 3-4 ATS since the Feb. 10 trade deadline.
The Spurs are 5-4-1 ATS over their last 10 and seem like the more put-together team, sitting 2nd in the NBA in turnover rate. They’re also 2-0-1 ATS when the favorite over their last 10.
They’ve been able to cover against weaker opponents, which the Kings are.
Over/Under
BET the UNDER 240.5 (-112).
There are a good amount of metrics that speak for the Over, but neither team is overly consistent, which is why, despite ranking 4th (Spurs) and 7th (Kings) in pace, they’re both barely above .500 on the Over.
The Spurs are 32-28-2 while the Kings are 32-31-1. The crew chief, Sean Wright, is allowing just over 220 points per game during games he has officiated as well.
Also, the only time either team has had a total over 240 this season, they’ve missed the mark (San Antonio’s last game with Memphis ended at 223 and had a 240.5 total).
Lastly, the Kings are just 4-8 O/U with no rest and put up just 95 last night on the Pelicans.
Given C Jakob Poeltl can give size similar to C Jonas Valančiūnas, I expect F Domantas Sabonis to struggle to bully his way in the paint, a key for the Kings’ offensive strength.
Overall, I expect a relatively high-scoring game but not one that hits 241.
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