The Washington Wizards (17-16) travel to South Beach Tuesday to play the Miami Heat (21-13) at FTX Arena. The tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Wizards vs. Heat odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
Miami enters on a three-game winning streak with victories over the Indiana Pacers, Detroit Pistons, and Orlando Magic.
Over the past two weeks, the Heat are 5-2 straight-up (SU), 3-4 ATS and 3-4 O/U with the eighth-best non-garbage time net rating (plus-4.7 points per 100 possessions), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).
Washington got clobbered 117-96 by the Philadelphia 76ers Sunday as 4-point home underdogs. The Wizards are 2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS and 4-2 O/U in the last 14 days with the 26th-ranked adjusted net rating (minus-9.1 points per 100 possessions), per CTG.
This is the regular-season rubber match between these teams with the home team winning and covering the first two meetings, and either side of the total cashing in each contest.
Wizards at Heat odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Wizards +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Heat -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Wizards +6.5 (-115) | Heat -6.5 (-107)
- Over/Under (O/U): 208.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Wizards at Heat key injuries
Wizards
- SG Bradley Beal (health and safety protocols) questionable
- PF Rui Hachimura (health and safety protocols) out
- SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (health and safety protocols) out
- PG Raul Neto (health and safety protocols) out
Heat
- PF P.J. Tucker (knee) questionable
- PG Kyle Lowry (health and safety protocols) out
- C Dewayne Dedmon (knee) out
- C Bam Adebayo (thumb) out
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Wizards at Heat odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 107, Wizards 95
Money line
PASS since I like Miami to win outright but not enough to lay it with the Heat (-260). However, Miami wing Jimmy Butler returned from an eight-game absence in the Heat’s last game vs. the Magic.
Before his injury, Butler was playing at an All-NBA-caliber. Butler is third in PER, Win Shares per 48 and box plus/minus. Furthermore, Butler is averaging 30.5 points per game on 57.9% shooting with a plus-29 net rating vs. the Wizards this season.
Against the spread
BET 1 unit on the HEAT -6.5 (-107) because they’ve been hit by sharp money early and this is a better spot for Miami.
For instance, this game opened with the Heat laying 6 points but is increasing due to pro-Miami action. Both teams are missing a bunch of players due to COVID but that’s already accounted for in the line.
With that in mind, the Heat are 5-1 ATS at home vs. teams with a winning record. While the Wizards are 6-13-1 ATS on the road and 1-4-1 ATS when being spotted 5-7 points.
Over/Under
“LEAN” to the UNDER 208.5 (-107) since we are getting reverse line movement despite most of the situation-based trends suggesting Wizards-Heat would be a low-scoring game.
According to both Pregame.com and the Yahoo! Sports app, a vast majority of the money is on the Over, but the total for this game has been lowered from the 210-point lookahead number.
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