Happy holidays to all, but it’s stressful in the NFL with key players being sidelined with COVID protocol. So we suggest holding off (or jumping on) bets as inactive lists are announced 90 minutes before game time. Below, we look at 5 NFL player prop bets for Week 16, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.
Week 16 prop bet picks and predictions
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8 a.m. ET.
Cleveland Browns RB Nick Chubb UNDER 18.5 rushing attempts (-114)
There are a lot of things that go against Chubb getting 19 or more carries. Green Bay is likely going to come out flinging. The Pack has a long history of standalone games around Christmas at home. There aren’t a lot of scenarios where the Browns own the clock and are grinding out a road win.. He has done it plenty of times, but this night in that town. Take the UNDER (-114).
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Cincinnati Bengals RB Joe Mixon OVER 66.5 rushing yards (-114)
The Baltimore Ravens have allowed games not to go to overtime because of fear they will lose. The Bengals are going to try to grind on that lack of confidence. Mixon’s number is low given that he should have a minimum of 15 carries against a defense overcompensating for the pass game. The Ravens also have their top-two quarterbacks listed as questionable. Six or seven in the box is always a good thing for a bell-cow running back. Take the OVER (-114).
Los Angeles Rams WR Cooper Kupp UNDER 107.5 receiving yards (-114)
There are certain numbers for players that may take pause. It’s typically 105 yards for backs and receivers and 307 for quarterbacks. Kupp has proved over and over again that he’s capable of surpassing this number, but when it becomes the starting point? That’s too high. Take the UNDER (-114).
Las Vegas Raiders RB Josh Jacobs OVER 53.5 rushing yards (-116)
The Raiders want to run the ball because they have been throwing far too often when they lose. A number like this for Jacobs is shockingly low given that he has averaged 85 rushing yards a game in four career meetings with the Broncos (and scored seven touchdowns!) What would make you think that game plan isn’t going to be Jacobs-intensive? Take the OVER (-116).
Dallas Cowboys WR Amari Cooper OVER 54.5 receiving yards (-114)
Something that always gets my attention is when a wide receiver calls out his coaches and QB about “get me the damn ball” protocol. Cooper did that this week. One of two scenarios happen. He’s targeted a couple times and does nothing or he’s targeted 10 times. I can live with 10 targets and 55 yards. Take the OVER (-114).
Also see: All Week 16 odds and lines
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