The Charlotte Hornets (15-14) meet the San Antonio Spurs (10-16) Wednesday at the AT&T Center for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Hornets vs. Spurs odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.
Charlotte got stomped its last time out 120-96 by the Mavericks in Dallas as 2.5-point road underdogs.
In December, the Hornets are 2-4 straight-up (SU), 5-1 ATS and 4-1-1 O/U with the 22nd-best non-garbage time efficiency differential (minus-4.5 points per 100 possessions), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).
San Antonio is coming off a 112-97 victory over the New Orleans Pelicans Sunday. The Spurs are 4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS and 3-3-1 O/U with the 11th-best non-garbage time efficiency differential (plus-3.7 points per 100 possessions).
These teams split the series 1-1 last regular season with the road team winning and covering each game and either side of the total cashing.
Hornets at Spurs odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:15 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Hornets +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Spurs -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Hornets +3.5 (-110) | Spurs -3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Hornets at Spurs key injuries
Hornets
- C Mason Plumlee (ribs) probable
- PG LaMelo Ball (health and safety protocols) out
Spurs
- None.
Hornets at Spurs odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Spurs 117, Hornets 109
Money line
PASS even though I “like” San Antonio to cover the spread because the Spurs (-160) is just a little out of my price range.
However, if San Antonio’s money line was south of -140 then I’d probably take that instead of the Spurs laying the points.
Against the spread
BET the SPURS -3.5 (-110) for 1 unit because this is a way better spot for San Antonio than Charlotte.
First of all, the Spurs are 8-3 ATS vs. teams with a winning record and 4-1 ATS as a home favorite with a plus-10.8 spread differential.
Second, both teams like to get out in transition, but San Antonio has the best defensive efficiency vs. fastbreak offense whereas Charlotte has the fifth-worst transition defense efficiency.
Also, the Spurs attempt the second-highest volume of midrange field goals in the NBA (per CTG), and the Hornets have the second-worst defensive field goal percentage vs. midrange attempts.
Finally, despite these pro-San Antonio arguments, more money is coming in on Charlotte according to both Pregame.com and the Yahoo! Sports app.
GIMME the SPURS -3.5 (-110), who are the less popular side, trending up and with a way better case for covering the spread than the Hornets +3.5 (-110).
Over/Under
PASS with slight “lean” to the Over 225.5 (-115) because both teams can put up some points and play at a fast pace, but neither defense can stop a nosebleed.
However, a vast majority of the market has similar analysis apparently hence far more bets being placed on the Over, and I hate following the herd in sports betting.
Furthermore, both squads have a below-average 3-point attempt rate and free-throw attempt rate so an off-shooting quarter could jeopardize any Over bets in this contest.
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.
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