The Memphis Grizzlies (16-11) host the Philadelphia 76ers (15-12) Monday for an 8 p.m. ET game at the FedExForum. Below, we look at the 76ers vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.
Philly upset the Golden State Warriors 102-93 Saturday as a 3-point home underdog. The Sixers are 5-2 straight-up (SU), 3-4 against the spread (ATS) and 1-5-1 Over/Under (O/U) with the 14th-ranked non-garbage time-efficiency differential over the past two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).
Since PG Ja Morant has been sidelined with a knee injury (starting Nov. 28), Memphis is 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS and 2-5 O/U with the best non-garbage time-efficiency differential. The Grizzlies are coming off back-to-back wins vs. the Houston Rockets and Los Angeles Lakers.
76ers at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:02 p.m. ET.
- Money line: 76ers -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Grizzlies +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Against the spread (ATS): 76ers -3.5 (-108) | Grizzlies +3.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 210.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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76ers at Grizzlies key injuries
76ers
- None
Grizzlies
- C Steven Adams (ankle) doubtful
- PF Brandon Clarke (knee) out
- PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) questionable
- PG Ja Morant (knee) out
76ers at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
76ers 115, Grizzlies 102
Money line
PASS since Philly is obviously the right side in this one, but the 76ers (-155) is a little out of my price range for an NBA regular-season favorite.
However, I wouldn’t rule out parlaying Philly’s money line with perhaps the Cleveland Cavaliers’ money line (-220 vs. Miami Heat) for a much better payout.
Against the spread
BET 76ERS -3.5 (-108) because the Grizzlies +3.5 may be without three starters and the possible absence of Adams would most likely lead to Philly big Joel Embiid completely owning the interior.
Jackson grades in the 97th percentile of bigs in on/off-efficiency differential and Adams grades in the 81st percentile, according to CTG. Adams’ absence would significantly hurt Memphis’s team rebounding, which has been a weakness for Philly despite having two quality rebounding bigs.
Also, the market could be overrating the Grizzlies based on recent results vs. poor teams. Memphis has held down the fort without Morant, but it’s fair to question who the Grizzlies have played.
Memphis’s defensive efficiency has been awesome since Morant has been out, but it has only played one team ranked in the top half of the NBA in offensive rating (Miami). But the Heat’s non-garbage time-offensive efficiency ranks just 19th over the past two weeks.
Over/Under
“LEAN” to the OVER 210.5 (-112) for a small wager because Memphis pushes the pace of this game since getting hot from behind the arc is the Grizzlies’ best path to victory.
Memphis plays the third-highest rate of transition offense, and Philly’s defense has the second-worst efficiency vs. transition offense. It would make more sense for the Sixers to grind the game out. But since the Grizzlies are outmanned, I could see Philly playing with their food here.
Plus, I see value in bucking the recent Under-heavy trends such as the Under cashing in Memphis’s past four games as an underdog and the Under being 5-1-1 in Philly’s past seven games.
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