After the New England Patriots absolutely thrashed the Atlanta Falcons on Thursday Night Football, fans will be looking forward to a fun slate of games Sunday. Below, we look at the NFL Week 11 player prop bets odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.
A few games on the docket for Sunday at 1 p.m. ET include Baltimore Ravens at Chicago Bears, Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings and Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills.
The Dallas Cowboys play the Kansas City Chiefs in the evening window with the Los Angeles Chargers and Pittsburgh Steelers as the Sunday Night action. Monday, fans will be “treated” to the New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Let’s dive into a few player prop bets to consider putting on your slip.
Week 11 prop bets picks
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.
Colts RB Jonathan Taylor UNDER 76.5 rushing yards (-114)
The Colts will be matched up with the Bills in a premier 1 p.m. ET match. While Taylor has hit this number in four of his last five games, he’s only managed it five times in ten games this season.
He’s been given the workload recently but hasn’t been up against a defense as effective as the Bills. He’s exploded on New York Jets, Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars.
Hitting the 100-yard mark is always impressive but it’s not quite as eye-popping against those sides. Buffalo ranks third in rushing yards allowed per game (83.9).
I’m betting the Bills focus on limiting the star back and force QB Carson Wentz to beat them. If they don’t do that defensively, they don’t deserve to come out with a win.
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Steelers RB Najee Harris OVER 81.5 rushing yards (-114)
The Steelers’ first-round draft pick has turned into an absolute workhorse. Getting many extra yards due to his size, Harris has been dominant.
He’ll also be going against the worst run defense by a large margin. The Chargers are giving up over 155.1 yards per game, nearly 20 more ypg than the 31st ranked Houston Texans.
Harris is going to be getting all the reps he can handle. The Steelers are unlikely to abandon the run even if they find themselves down two or more touchdowns.
Harris has hit over 20 attempts in his last five games and has topped 80 yards in four of the five. He’s been terrific and is only improving. I expect a big game from him Sunday night.
Also see: All Week 11 odds and lines
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Bears QB Justin Fields OVER 17.5 pass completions (-106)
The Chicago Bears will be at home Sunday to take on the Ravens whose secondary hasn’t been as good as many expected this season.
Baltimore allows their opponents to complete the 17th-most passes per game (22.8). I’d bet Fields can take another step in his development against a flimsy secondary.
Fields has hit 18 completions in two of his last three games, and while he struggled against Pittsburgh’s eighth-ranked opponent pass completion rate he still reached 17. The Bears drives should be extended more often with RB David Montgomery back which should help Fields get more chances to throw the ball.
I’d bank he continues to progress and can keep pace with a dynamic Baltimore offense.
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