Miami Dolphins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Miami Dolphins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Dolphins (1-3) visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1) Sunday afternoon of Week 5 for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff at Raymond James Stadium. Below, we look at the Dolphins vs. Buccaneers odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

After a season-opening win over the New England Patriots, the Dolphins have lost three games in a row, most recently falling 27-17 to the Indianapolis Colts in Week 4. They are averaging the second-fewest points in the league at 15.5 points per game and await the return of injured QB Tua Tagovailoa. 

The Buccaneers survived QB Tom Brady‘sreturn to New England with a 19-17 win over his former team. Brady has 10 touchdown passes and leads the league in passing attempts and completions entering Week 5.

Dolphins at Buccaneers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dolphins +340 (bet $100 to win $340) | Buccaneers -475 (bet $475 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins +9.5 (-107) | Buccaneers -9.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Dolphins at Buccaneers key injuries

Dolphins

  • WR DeVante Parker (shoulder) questionable

Buccaneers

  • TE Rob Gronkowski (ribs) out
  • DL Patrick O’Connor (calf) out
  • Antoine Winfield Jr. (concussion) out
  • RB Giovani Bernard (knee) questionable
  • CB Jamel Dean (groin) questionable
  • LB Jason Pierre-Paul (shoulder, hand) questionable

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Dolphins at Buccaneers odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Buccaneers 31, Dolphins 21

Money line

At first glance, you have the defending champions facing a struggling team without their starting quarterback. Dolphins QB Jacoby Brissett as a starter for his career.

The Dolphins are 25th in scoring defense, while the Bucs scored 24 or more points in three of their four games.

However, as the Bucs are overwhelming favorites at -475, PASS on the money line.

Against the spread

Miami is 2-2 ATS, while Tampa Bay is 1-3 ATS. The Dolphins’ defense is near the levels of the Atlanta Falcons, against whom the Bucs put up 48 points in Week 2.

Tampa is 7-4 ATS at home since Tom Brady joined the team last season and it has been a regular practice of mine for years to not bet against Brady at home.

Take the BUCCANEERS -9.5 (-115).

Over/Under

Three of the Buccaneers’ four games this season had a total of more than 47 points. Only one of the Dolphins’ games finished with a total of more than 47 points.

The Buccaneers offense is great and their defense will allow the Dolphins enough points for the game to get into the 50s.

Take OVER 47.5 (-112).

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