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Arkansas will seek to bounce back in Week 6 against Ole Miss after the Razorbacks fell hard to Georgia on Saturday, 37-0.
Ole Miss, too, will be looking to return to its winning ways after Alabama handled the Rebels, 42-21.
According to ESPN’s Football Power Index, Arkansas has a 33 percent chance to win on the road against its fellow SEC West opponent. The number seems a bit low if one takes into consideration the teams’ rankings in the two major college football polls.
Arkansas is ranked 16th and Ole Miss 17th in the coaches poll. The Hogs are 13th and the Rebels 17th in the media poll. So what gives?
The FPI has Arkansas’ defense an impressive sixth in FBS for its efficiency rating. The algorithm has the Arkansas offense as 47th and Razorbacks’ special teams as 109th. Ole Miss, on the other hand, is 25th in defense, 21st in offense and 25th in special teams. Add in the game being on the road, and the 33% number makes a bit more sense.
The FPI data still predicts the Razorbacks to finish 8-4 and gives the team a 99.5% chance to reach six wins, ensuring bowl eligibility.
Arkansas won last year’s game in Fayetteville, 33-21, after intercepting Rebels quarterback Matt Corral six times.