Latest ESPN FPI game-by-game predictions now projects a likely loss for Michigan football

If the season plays out as predicted here, would you take it?

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After winning at Wisconsin, 38-17, on Saturday, you wouldn’t expect any of Michigan football’s win predictabilities according to ESPN FPI, but here we are. The chances that the Wolverines will win some games went up, while a few notable games saw some decreases, even though the maize and blue moved up from ESPN FPI’s seventh-ranked team to No. 5 in the country.

Again, FPI is an advanced analytics model which looks to the future, and Michigan went from being a likely 8-4 team according to ESPN to now having an expected 2021 won-loss of 10.1-2.2 — which would mark only the third time in Jim Harbaugh’s tenure that the Wolverines would win 10 games in the regular season, if that were to come to pass.

With five games in the books, here is how ESPN FPI predicts the final seven to play out.

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