Arkansas has just an 11 percent chance to beat Georgia, per ESPN

Arkansas has an 11 percent chance to beat Georgia, per ESPN’s Football Power Index.

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The national coaches and media polls are one thing. But Arkansas continued its climb in ESPN’s Football Power Index on Sunday, too.

None of the three mean anything, per se. The BCS Standings are the most important and when it comes to championship aspirations, the only, thing that matters. The coaches and media polls, though, do carry some weight as far how a program feels.

The FPI is different. It’s a mathematical algorithm that projects winners. In it, Arkansas moved from 20th to 16th. The Razorbacks’ Week 5 opponent, Georgia, is No. 1. The Bulldogs leapfrogged Alabama for the top spot after Week 4’s games.

The corresponding data projects Arkansas to finish the year 8-4 and gives them a 99.6% chance to reach six wins, which would ensure a bowl appearance.

For the game itself on Saturday, Arkansas has just an 11% chance at victory.

The Bulldogs won last year’s meeting, 37-10,  in Fayetteville.