The Washington Nationals (64-92) kick off their final road series of the season Monday against the Colorado Rockies (71-84), who are in their last home series of the season. First pitch for Monday’s game is at 8:40 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Nationals vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Nationals RHP Josiah Gray (1-2, 5.92 ERA) makes his 12th start and 13th appearance of the season. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 59 1/3 IP with the Nationals and Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Picked up his first MLB win in his last start against the Miami Marlins, pitching 6 innings and allowing 2 runs on 6 hits and a walk. The Nationals are 3-7 when he starts.
- He has pitched against the Rockies twice this season. Across 9 1/3 innings, he has allowed 7 runs (all earned) on 6 hits and 8 walks. He has struck out 11 Rockies batters.
Rockies RHP German Marquez (12-10, 4.32 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 175 IP.
- The Rockies won his last four starts and six of his last seven, including a 9-8 win over the Nationals Sept. 17.
- Allowed 11 runs and 14 hits over 8 IP across his last two starts.
Nationals at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Nationals +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Rockies -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-130) | Rockies -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under: 11.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Prediction
Rockies 5, Nationals 4
Money line (ML)
The Nationals lost their last three games of their road trip and are 29-49 on the road this season.
The Rockies are 46-32 at home but have dropped five of six in this homestand, facing the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Francisco Giants, who are battling for the NL West title.
The Rockies took two of three in Washington against the Nationals earlier this month. They have not lost one of Marquez’ home starts since July 20.
Take the ROCKIES (-175).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Nationals are 73-83 ATS overall this season and 39-39 ATS on the road. Colorado is No. 1 in the league against the spread at home at 47-31 ATS.
Of their last 10 losses, the Nationals lost by only 1 run five times. Five of the last eight wins for the Rockies were by 1 run.
Keeping with that trend, even though I like the Rockies to win, take the NATIONALS +1.5 (-130).
Over/Under (O/U)
Despite the reputation, only 43.4% of the games at Coors Field went Over the projected total this season.
Only two of the Rockies’ six games so far in the homestand finished with 12 or more runs. Only four of their last 16 overall had 12-plus runs.
Six of the Nationals’ last 11 games had a total of 12 or more runs.
Take UNDER 11.5 (-115).
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