UFC 266: Curtis Blaydes vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 266 odds and lines between Curtis Blaydes vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a heavyweight bout on the main card, Curtis Blaydes faces Jairzinho Rozenstruik at UFC 266 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC 266: Blaydes vs. Rozenstruik odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The card can be viewed on ESPN+ with the early prelims at 6 p.m. ET, the prelims start at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+ and the main card at 10 p.m. ET on Pay-Per-View.

Blaydes saw his four-bout win streak come crashing down in a second-round KO/TKO loss Feb. 20 to Derrick Lewis in the main event of a fight night card. Win or lose, stoppages are usually sure to follow Blaydes. Three of his last four fights have ended inside the distance, and five of the past seven have finished via KO/TKO (3-2).

Rozenstruik has alternated wins and losses in each of his last four fights, although losses to Francis Ngannou and Ciryl Gane are nothing to hang one’s head about. He dropped Augusto Sakai in a first-round KO/TKO in the main event June 5, bouncing back from his uneventful unanimous-decision loss to Gane in another main event fight Feb. 27.

UFC 266 Blaydes vs. Rozenstruik: Odds and lines

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Blaydes -340 (bet $340 to win $100) | Rozenstruik +250 (bet $100 to win $250)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -190 | Under +135)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +135 | No -190)

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UFC 266 Blaydes vs. Rozenstruik: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Records: Blaydes (14-3-0) | Rozenstruik (12-2-0)

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

A win by Blaydes (-340) straight up on the 2-way line is just too expensive, as you can’t risk nearly three and a half times your potential return. There is just no value there.

Instead, I am feeling BLAYDES BY TKO/KO (+110) on the method of victory instead. He has never had a submission win or loss, so no sense in looking in that direction.

Over/Under (O/U)

NO (-190): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is the play, since I like Blaydes for the knockout win. In addition, I like UNDER 1.5 ROUNDS (+135) at plus-money.

Rozenstruik was knocked out in just 20 seconds at UFC 249, and in his six KO/TKO wins at the UFC level, he has won three times in Round 1. Regardless of which way this goes, it is going to be quick.

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