The New York Yankees (81-64) and Baltimore Orioles (46-98) meet Wednesday to continue a three-game series at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Nestor Cortes, Jr., is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. Across 18 games (10 starts), he is 2-2 with a 2.70 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 through 73 1/3 IP.
- Faced Baltimore two starts back and allowed 1 run over 5 2/3 IP. Current Orioles bats own an aggregate .551 OPS against him.
- Has benefited from a .258 batting average on balls in play and an 85.1% left-on-base rate.
LHP John Means is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. He is 5-7 with a 3.42 ERA, 1.00 WHIP 8.1 K/9, and 1.6 BB/9 through 126 1/3 IP over 22 starts.
- Allowed 3 ER in 9 2/3 frames against the Yankees this year but current New York batters own an aggregate .851 OPS against him.
- Owns a 2.95 ERA across his last three starts spanning 18 1/3 IP.
Yankees at Orioles odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:43 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Orioles +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
- Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (-117) | Orioles +1.5 (-103)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)
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Prediction
Yankees 7, Baltimore 5
Money line (ML)
The New York offense had posted a mere .660 OPS in 16 games prior to exploding for 13 hits and 5 home runs in a 7-2 victory in Tuesday’s series opener.
Baltimore has lost four straight games and the Orioles yielded 48 runs over those four losses. Baltimore has logged a 7.42 team ERA in going 8-31 since Aug. 3.
That 39 game stretch opened with allowing double-digit run totals to these Yankees in back-to-back games. This is a New York nine that has been awfully comfortable at Camden Yards for a few years now and their five home runs Tuesday weren’t really a wild outlier.
Still, this is an Orioles offense that has pounded out a .787 OPS over its last 23 games. Baltimore is in the better half of its platoon splits when facing lefties.
Throw it all together as a PASS for the pricey money line here.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The price is right for risking another slugfest/Yankee win. TAKE NEW YORK -1.5 (-117).
Over/Under (O/U)
On a warm, humid, wind-out night in Baltimore … and with some expected-ERA fade lean against both starters, BACK THE OVER 9.5 (-125).
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