The New York Yankees (80-64) and Baltimore Orioles (46-97) meet Tuesday to open a three-game series at Camden Yards. First pitch in the series opener is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Gerrit Cole is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He is 14-7 with a 2.78 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 12.3 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 through 158 2/3 IP spanning 26 starts.
- Left his last start against the Toronto Blue Jays Sept. 7 due to left hamstring tightness. Allowed 3 runs (2 earned) over 3 2/3 IP in that start but has otherwise pitched brilliantly since being down with an injury the first two weeks of August. Owns a 1.27 ERA and 0.99 WHIP across five starts since Aug. 16.
- Current Baltimore batters own an aggregate .436 OPS against him.
LHP Alexander Wells is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. He has appeared in seven games this season (four as a starter) and has allowed 32 hits and 18 ER across 22 2/3 IP. He has walked 11 while striking out 17.
- Back in the rotation for a second straight turn after pitching 4 IP against the Kansas City Royals Sept. 7, giving up 2 runs on 5 hits and 2 walks.
- Started a game at Yankee Stadium Aug. 3, and was torched for 6 ER on 7 hits over 2 1/3 IP.
- Has been hurt by a .354 batting average on balls in play.
Yankees at Orioles odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:25 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees -360 (bet $360 to win $100) | Orioles +270 (bet $100 to win $270)
- Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (-210) | Orioles +1.5 (+170)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Prediction
Orioles 6, Yankees 4
Money line (ML)
The Yankees won a Monday makeup game against the Minnesota Twins but are just 2-8 over their last 10 games. The New York offense has scuffled of late and the Yankees own a .660 OPS in their last 16 games.
Baltimore lost three of four games against Toronto over the weekend and was idle Monday. The three losses saw the Orioles cough up a combined 44 runs but that performance is just the tip of the iceberg. Baltimore has logged a 7.44 team ERA in going 8-30 since Aug. 3.
That 8-30 stretch includes Baltimore going 2-3 against these Yankees. Overall this season, New York has won nine of 16 games against the O’s and the Yanks have outscored the Birds 91-57.
As bad as Baltimore has been, Cole’s health status and a fatigued, patch-work bullpen behind him create just enough fog. BACK BALTIMORE (+270).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Consider a mix of both money and run line action fading Cole and the Yanks. TAKE BALTIMORE +1.5 (+170).
Over/Under (O/U)
Will respect the possibility of a 9-10 total in a blowout win for the Yankees. PASS.
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