Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing the Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs Week 1 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Browns and Kansas City Chiefs meet Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET and the game is televised on CBS. Below, we look at the Browns at Chiefs odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Browns head into this regular-season opener looking to snap an ugly run. They’re 0-15-1 in Week 1 since 2005, and they’re 5-15-1 against the spread in their previous 21 Week 1 games.

The defending AFC champion Chiefs have no such bad luck in Week 1, or otherwise lately. They covered the spread in each of their past four regular-season openers, while going 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games in September.

Also see: 2021 NFL team win totals

Browns at Chiefs odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Browns +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Chiefs -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Browns +5.5 (-110) | Chiefs -5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 54.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Browns at Chiefs key injuries

Browns

  • WR Odell Beckham Jr. (knee) questionable
  • DE Jadeveon Clowney (illness) questionable
  • Grant Delpit (hamstring) questionable
  • Ronnie Harrison Jr. (ankle) questionable
  • JC Tretter (knee) questionable
  • PK Chase McLaughlin (hamstring) questionable

Chiefs

  • DE Frank Clark (hamstring) questionable
  • DT Derrick Nnadi (hip) questionable
  • OL Austin Blythe (abdomen) out

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Browns at Chiefs odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Chiefs 34, Browns 24

Money line

The Chiefs (-240) will cost you two and a half times your potential return, and that’s a little too much risk despite the fact the Browns have been awful in regular-season openers for over a decade and a half.

AVOID and look to the spread.

Against the spread

CHIEFS -5.5 (-110) is a great play in the regular-season opener in this replay of last season’s AFC Divisional Round playoff game. The public has been all over the Browns, and it’s a bit misguided.

Perhaps some bettors are looking at last season’s 22-17 playoff game near-miss by the Browns in Kansas City, but remember, Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes was knocked out of that game for a large chunk. Backup QB Chad Henne finished up and the Chiefs still won the game.

This one won’t be nearly as close.

Over/Under

The play is the OVER 54.5 (-115) in this AFC showdown between two Super Bowl hopefuls.

I like the fact the Over is 6-0 in the past six regular-season openers for the Chiefs while they’ve hit the Over in 15 of their last 21 September games, as well.

We have two top-notch quarterbacks and a bevy of impressive skill position players on both sides. The defenses won’t be able to keep up.

Also see: Week 1 staff picks

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