The Toronto Blue Jays (76-62) and New York Yankees (78-61) close out a four-game AL East series at Yankees Stadium Thursday at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Blue Jays vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Jose Berrios is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays. He is 10-7 with a 3.55 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 through 159 2/3 IP spanning 27 starts with the Blue Jays and Minnesota Twins.
- Struggled in recent road turns before allowing just 1 unearned run over 7 IP Aug. 29 against the Detroit Tigers. Berrios had registered a 7.08 ERA over his previous four road outings.
- Fanned 13.0 batters per nine without a walk over his last three starts. His season K/BB ratio of 4.23 would be a career-best.
LHP Nestor Cortes is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. Across 17 games (nine starts), he is 2-2 with a 2.67 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 through 67 1/3 IP.
- Figures to see a righty-laden Jays lineup and has held right-handed batters to a mere .614 OPS but that’s with a .242 batting average on balls in play.
- Owns a fine 1.72 ERA and 0.93 WHIP at Yankee Stadium.
Blue Jays at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:25 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Blue Jays -103 (bet $103 to win $100) | Yankees -117 (bet $117 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays -1.5 (+155) | Yankees +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)
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Prediction
Yankees 5, Blue Jays 4
Money line (ML)
Toronto logged a .829 OPS while taking the first three games of this series. The Blue Jays are 7-0 in September and own a hard-hitting .970 OPS this month.
New York has been an enigma. A 13-game win streak in August has melted into a 2-9 mark since, and the Yankees seem to be finding ways to lose along the way. The Bronx Bombers certainly haven’t bombed their way out of any deficits, as New York has batted all of .206/.277/.312 (.589 OPS) over its last 11 games.
Still, the Jays haven’t seen Cortes before. His unique pitch-to-light-contact style perhaps fits as enough of a counterweight in this series finale.
TAKE THE YANKEES (-117).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
STEER CLEAR.
Over/Under (O/U)
With some sway toward the Yankees offense getting back on track and a fade of both bullpens and both starters, BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-125).
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