Bowling Green at Tennessee odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Bowling Green at Tennessee odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Bowling Green Falcons meet the Tennessee Volunteers Thursday in the season opener for both teams at Neyland Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Bowling Green at Tennessee odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

The Falcons lost all five games last season in a COVID-shortened season, and each of the losses were by at least 25 points. The last time the Falcons faced a Power 5 team was Oct. 5, 2019, a 52-0 loss at Notre Dame. Prior to that, they lost 52-0 at Kansas State Sept. 7, 2019.

Finishing 3-7 last season and dealing with an in-house investigation into alleged recruiting improprieties, a change was needed at Tennessee. In the offseason, the Vols tapped Josh Heupel as the new head coach, replacing Jeremy Pruitt.

Bowling Green at Tennessee odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:48 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bowling Green +1500 (bet $100 to win $1,500) | Tennessee -10000 (bet $10,000 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bowling Green +35.5 (-120) | Tennessee -35.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 60.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Bowling Green at Tennessee odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Tennessee 45, Bowling Green 13

Money line

Tennessee (-10000) will net you a profit of $1 for every $100 spent if it wins. If you have those kind of guts to wager so much for so little on a team which was 3-7 last season, you’re a lot tougher than me.

AVOID and look to the spread instead.

Against the spread

BOWLING GREEN +35.5 (-120) is worth a small play. I’m just a bit concerned about backing a team that lost all five of its games by 25 or more points a season ago. However, it’s also difficult to back Tennessee, which has a history of sluggish starts in recent seasons. Getting seven-plus touchdowns (35.5 points) is just a lot points.

Over/Under

The UNDER 60.5 (-108) is the lean in this opener. Bowling Green’s offense really struggled in 2020. Things aren’t expected to be much better for the Falcons in 2021. While the Vols have new faces under center in starting QB Joe Milton and backup QB Hendon Hooker, it might take a while for the new quarterbacks to get going in their new system.

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