The Baltimore Orioles (40-89) and Toronto Blue Jays (68-61) play the opener of a three-game set Monday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Orioles vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Orioles RHP Chris Ellis (1-0, 3.86 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 3rd appearance. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 12.9 K/9 and 1.3 BB/9 through 7 IP.
- Allowed three earned runs, five hits and no walks with three strikeouts in his team debut Aug. 25 against the Los Angeles Angels, a 38-pitch no-decision.
- Was previously with the Rays, and his win this season actually came in relief against Baltimore Aug. 17.
Blue Jays LHP Robbie Ray (9-5, 2.72 ERA) makes his 17th start and 35th appearance. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 7.3 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 through 109 2/3 IP.
- Ray hasn’t had a decision in five August appearances, but he has allowed just six earned runs, 23 hits and seven walks with 42 strikeouts across 34 IP while turning in a 1.59 ERA.
- Allowed two runs, six hits and two walks with five strikeouts in 4 1/3 IP June 18 in Baltimore, his only previous appearance against the O’s this season.
Orioles at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Orioles +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Blue Jays -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Orioles +2.5 (-115) | Blue Jays -2.5 (-105)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)
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Prediction
Blue Jays 7, Orioles 1
Money line (ML)
The Blue Jays (-320) will cost you more than three times your potential return, and that’s just too expensive for a single-game bet.
AVOID, and look to the spread instead.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The BLUE JAYS -2.5 (+105) are a much better play on the run line laying the two-and-a-half runs. They’re 7-2 in their past nine meetings against the Orioles +2.5 (-125), and all seven of those victories have been by three or more runs.
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 9.5 (-122) is the lean here despite the fact the Over is 5-2-1 across the past eight meetings.
The Under cashed in each of the past three outings for the Blue Jays and nine of the past 10 overall. The Under is also 9-0 in the past nine for Toronto as a favorite and 7-0 in the past seven tries against a right-handed starting pitcher.
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