The Los Angeles Angels (59-61) and Detroit Tigers (58-62) open a three-game series at Comerica Park Tuesday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Angels vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Angels RHP Dylan Bundy (2-9, 6.17 ERA) makes his 22nd appearance of the season (18th start). He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 84 2/3 IP.
- Bundy has made three starts since rejoining the rotation July 29 and has put up a 3.68 ERA during that time. However, the brief run of success has come with a mediocre 10/6 K/BB across 14 2/3 IP, and he has received help from a .171 BABIP.
- Bundy has a 5.57 ERA, 8.6 K/9 and 1.7 HR/9 across 42 IP on the road this season.
Tigers RHP Casey Mize (6-6, 3.66 ERA) makes his 23rd start of the year. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 120 1/3 IP.
- Mize has had a pretty solid season other than his issues with the long ball. His 1.6 HR/9 is the fourth-highest among qualified starting pitchers, and he served up 3 homers in each of his last two starts.
- Has recorded a 3.55 ERA, 6.8 K/9 and 1.2 HR/9 across 50 2/3 IP through 10 home starts.
Angels at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Angels +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Tigers -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Angels +1.5 (-180) | Tigers -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Prediction
Tigers 6, Angels 4
Money line (ML)
The Angels are 6-11 through Bundy’s 17 starts this season, and the improved results he has seen lately haven’t come with skills to back it up.
The Tigers are 12-5 at home since the All-Star break and their offense should be able to give Mize enough support to come out on top. Take the TIGERS (-140).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Detroit bats are in a pretty good spot against Bundy, whose velocity in his last start was the lowest it’s been all year. Mize hasn’t been pitching great or very deep into games of late, but he has a decent matchup in this one.
The Angels come into this game tied for 26th in road home runs and they’re 23rd in road OPS. A small play on TIGERS -1.5 (+140) is worth a shot, as there is a decent chance Bundy gets blown up again.
Over/Under (O/U)
On one hand, we have a matchup between Bundy, who has been getting knocked around all year, and Mize, who has been very homer-prone himself.
However, the Angels are 22nd in runs per game on the road (4.02) while the Tigers are 23rd in the category at home (4.17). The under has hit in 14 of the last 17 road games the Angels have played, and this one could easily go either way. It’s probably best to simply PASS on the total.
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